Kyle Schwarber holds the top spot in the MLB home run race with 37 long balls as of mid-August 2026, ahead of Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson at 36 each and Junior Caminero at 35, fueling his 35.5% implied probability as the consensus leader among traders. Alvarez's elite .321 average, on-base skills, and recent solo shot on August 14 bolster his 27% positioning despite fewer at-bats in some stretches. Caminero's breakout power surge at age 23 and 15.8% odds reflect his rising trajectory and consistent production in the Rays lineup. Olson's steady output and Ben Rice's climb to around 33 homers add depth to the market, while lower-probability names like Munetaka Murakami trail due to limited volume and slower recent pacing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Kyle Schwarber 34%
Yordan Alvarez 27.0%
Junior Caminero 15.8%
Matt Olson 5.4%
$3,132,476 交易量
$3,132,476 交易量
2026-10-11
Kyle Schwarber
34%
Yordan Alvarez
27%
Junior Caminero
16%
Matt Olson
14%
Ben Rice
6%
Munetaka Murakami
1%
James Wood
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Aaron Judge
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 34%
Yordan Alvarez 27.0%
Junior Caminero 15.8%
Matt Olson 5.4%
$3,132,476 交易量
$3,132,476 交易量
2026-10-11
Kyle Schwarber
$23,170 交易量
34%
Yordan Alvarez
$9,750 交易量
27%
Junior Caminero
$1,934 交易量
16%
Matt Olson
$2,134 交易量
14%
Ben Rice
$1,369 交易量
6%
Munetaka Murakami
$7,826 交易量
1%
James Wood
$2,554 交易量
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
$611 交易量
1%
Juan Soto
$647,920 交易量
<1%
Mike Trout
$1,748,006 交易量
<1%
Aaron Judge
$4,680 交易量
<1%
George Springer
$508 交易量
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
$674 交易量
<1%
Sal Stewart
$650 交易量
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
$886 交易量
<1%
Jordan Walker
$606 交易量
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
$611 交易量
<1%
Brandon Lowe
$469,800 交易量
<1%
CJ Abrams
$203,669 交易量
<1%
Cal Raleigh
$704 交易量
<1%
Pete Alonso
$410 交易量
<1%
Rafael Devers
$631 交易量
<1%
Nick Kurtz
$1,488 交易量
<1%
Shea Langeliers
$1,341 交易量
<1%
Manny Machado
$547 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds the top spot in the MLB home run race with 37 long balls as of mid-August 2026, ahead of Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson at 36 each and Junior Caminero at 35, fueling his 35.5% implied probability as the consensus leader among traders. Alvarez's elite .321 average, on-base skills, and recent solo shot on August 14 bolster his 27% positioning despite fewer at-bats in some stretches. Caminero's breakout power surge at age 23 and 15.8% odds reflect his rising trajectory and consistent production in the Rays lineup. Olson's steady output and Ben Rice's climb to around 33 homers add depth to the market, while lower-probability names like Munetaka Murakami trail due to limited volume and slower recent pacing.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
交易量
$3,132,476结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds the top spot in the MLB home run race with 37 long balls as of mid-August 2026, ahead of Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson at 36 each and Junior Caminero at 35, fueling his 35.5% implied probability as the consensus leader among traders. Alvarez's elite .321 average, on-base skills, and recent solo shot on August 14 bolster his 27% positioning despite fewer at-bats in some stretches. Caminero's breakout power surge at age 23 and 15.8% odds reflect his rising trajectory and consistent production in the Rays lineup. Olson's steady output and Ben Rice's climb to around 33 homers add depth to the market, while lower-probability names like Munetaka Murakami trail due to limited volume and slower recent pacing.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,132,476结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber holds the top spot in the MLB home run race with 37 long balls as of mid-August 2026, ahead of Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson at 36 each and Junior Caminero at 35, fueling his 35.5% implied probability as the consensus leader among traders. Alvarez's elite .321 average, on-base skills, and recent solo shot on August 14 bolster his 27% positioning despite fewer at-bats in some stretches. Caminero's breakout power surge at age 23 and 15.8% odds reflect his rising trajectory and consistent production in the Rays lineup. Olson's steady output and Ben Rice's climb to around 33 homers add depth to the market, while lower-probability names like Munetaka Murakami trail due to limited volume and slower recent pacing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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