Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous September 2026 gaming gauntlet on September 1, requiring a single-run completion of Warzone, Fortnite, and Hardcore Minecraft or full restarts. Trader consensus clusters tightly across mid-to-high ranges because Lacy’s FNCS championship pedigree supports efficient Fortnite execution, yet the extended 70-plus-hour format, stream-sniper pressure, and cumulative fatigue introduce variance in death totals. Their prior endurance benchmarks—a four-day 2025 Minecraft marathon and 22-hour Chained Together run with 47 falls—anchor expectations for contained respawns, while recent stream updates showing roughly 53 Fortnite deaths by segment completion keep lower and mid-60s buckets competitive with higher outliers. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current implied probabilities highlights the matchup’s inherent unpredictability between experienced duo coordination and marathon-length execution demands.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于100+ 27%
60-69 22.3%
90-99 19%
80-89 15.6%
$22,986 交易量
$22,986 交易量
2026-09-30
<40
2%
40-49
2%
50-59
8%
60-69
22%
70-79
14%
80-89
16%
90-99
19%
100+
27%
100+ 27%
60-69 22.3%
90-99 19%
80-89 15.6%
$22,986 交易量
$22,986 交易量
2026-09-30
<40
$858 交易量
2%
40-49
$5,850 交易量
2%
50-59
$5,040 交易量
8%
60-69
$714 交易量
22%
70-79
$973 交易量
14%
80-89
$916 交易量
16%
90-99
$300 交易量
19%
100+
$8,335 交易量
27%
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous September 2026 gaming gauntlet on September 1, requiring a single-run completion of Warzone, Fortnite, and Hardcore Minecraft or full restarts. Trader consensus clusters tightly across mid-to-high ranges because Lacy’s FNCS championship pedigree supports efficient Fortnite execution, yet the extended 70-plus-hour format, stream-sniper pressure, and cumulative fatigue introduce variance in death totals. Their prior endurance benchmarks—a four-day 2025 Minecraft marathon and 22-hour Chained Together run with 47 falls—anchor expectations for contained respawns, while recent stream updates showing roughly 53 Fortnite deaths by segment completion keep lower and mid-60s buckets competitive with higher outliers. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current implied probabilities highlights the matchup’s inherent unpredictability between experienced duo coordination and marathon-length execution demands.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 10:43 PM ET
交易量
$22,986结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 10:43 PM ETLacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous September 2026 gaming gauntlet on September 1, requiring a single-run completion of Warzone, Fortnite, and Hardcore Minecraft or full restarts. Trader consensus clusters tightly across mid-to-high ranges because Lacy’s FNCS championship pedigree supports efficient Fortnite execution, yet the extended 70-plus-hour format, stream-sniper pressure, and cumulative fatigue introduce variance in death totals. Their prior endurance benchmarks—a four-day 2025 Minecraft marathon and 22-hour Chained Together run with 47 falls—anchor expectations for contained respawns, while recent stream updates showing roughly 53 Fortnite deaths by segment completion keep lower and mid-60s buckets competitive with higher outliers. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current implied probabilities highlights the matchup’s inherent unpredictability between experienced duo coordination and marathon-length execution demands.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and Youtube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
交易量
$22,986结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 10:43 PM ETLacy and Marlon launched their continuous September 2026 gaming gauntlet on September 1, requiring a single-run completion of Warzone, Fortnite, and Hardcore Minecraft or full restarts. Trader consensus clusters tightly across mid-to-high ranges because Lacy’s FNCS championship pedigree supports efficient Fortnite execution, yet the extended 70-plus-hour format, stream-sniper pressure, and cumulative fatigue introduce variance in death totals. Their prior endurance benchmarks—a four-day 2025 Minecraft marathon and 22-hour Chained Together run with 47 falls—anchor expectations for contained respawns, while recent stream updates showing roughly 53 Fortnite deaths by segment completion keep lower and mid-60s buckets competitive with higher outliers. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current implied probabilities highlights the matchup’s inherent unpredictability between experienced duo coordination and marathon-length execution demands.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题