Carlos Alcaraz holds the clearest edge in the 2026 US Open men’s singles market at 47.5% implied probability, driven by his successful return from a four-month right-wrist layoff and steady improvement through the early rounds. Jannik Sinner’s pre-tournament withdrawal with a knee injury opened the draw and shifted consensus sharply toward the defending champion, who has looked increasingly sharp on hard courts. Alexander Zverev sits second at 24.5% on the strength of his French Open title, Wimbledon final appearance, and consistent 2026 results, though he has faced extended matches. Ben Shelton, Daniil Medvedev, and Learner Tien trail further back, reflecting solid recent form but greater barriers against the top two in a wide-open field. Trader pricing continues to track confirmed results and official injury updates closely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯 48%
亚历山大·兹维列夫 24.5%
本·谢尔顿 7.4%
丹尼尔·梅德韦杰夫 6.0%
$20,872,450 交易量
$20,872,450 交易量
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯
48%
亚历山大·兹维列夫
25%
本·谢尔顿
7%
丹尼尔·梅德韦杰夫
6%
田学朗
4%
弗朗西斯·蒂亚福
2%
Alexander Blockx
1%
汤米·保罗
1%
斯特凡诺斯·西西帕斯
1%
V选手
1%
卡伦·哈查诺夫
1%
弗朗西斯科·塞伦多洛
1%
卢西亚诺·达尔代里
<1%
托马斯·马丁·埃切韦里
<1%
卡斯珀·鲁德
<1%
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯 48%
亚历山大·兹维列夫 24.5%
本·谢尔顿 7.4%
丹尼尔·梅德韦杰夫 6.0%
$20,872,450 交易量
$20,872,450 交易量
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯
48%
亚历山大·兹维列夫
25%
本·谢尔顿
7%
丹尼尔·梅德韦杰夫
6%
田学朗
4%
弗朗西斯·蒂亚福
2%
Alexander Blockx
1%
汤米·保罗
1%
斯特凡诺斯·西西帕斯
1%
V选手
1%
卡伦·哈查诺夫
1%
弗朗西斯科·塞伦多洛
1%
卢西亚诺·达尔代里
<1%
托马斯·马丁·埃切韦里
<1%
卡斯珀·鲁德
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz holds the clearest edge in the 2026 US Open men’s singles market at 47.5% implied probability, driven by his successful return from a four-month right-wrist layoff and steady improvement through the early rounds. Jannik Sinner’s pre-tournament withdrawal with a knee injury opened the draw and shifted consensus sharply toward the defending champion, who has looked increasingly sharp on hard courts. Alexander Zverev sits second at 24.5% on the strength of his French Open title, Wimbledon final appearance, and consistent 2026 results, though he has faced extended matches. Ben Shelton, Daniil Medvedev, and Learner Tien trail further back, reflecting solid recent form but greater barriers against the top two in a wide-open field. Trader pricing continues to track confirmed results and official injury updates closely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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