Jacob Fearnley holds a clear edge in this US Open qualifying opener on outdoor hard courts, reflected in trader consensus around 70-75% implied probability. The 25-year-old Briton ranks roughly 80 spots higher at No. 107 and posted a stronger 55% win rate over the past year, including solid hard-court results in Montreal and recent challenger events. He also leads the head-to-head 1-0 after a straight-sets victory on clay in 2025. Carballes Baena, now 33 and ranked No. 190, enters with a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches and limited recent success on hard or at this level. Surface, age, and current form all tilt toward the higher-ranked player, though qualifying matches remain inherently volatile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8时 8分 17秒
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Roberto Carballes Baena.
This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Jacob Fearnley.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Fearnley” if Jacob Fearnley wins the first set. It will resolve to “Baena” if Roberto Carballes Baena wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Fearnley” if Jacob Fearnley wins set 2. It will resolve to “Baena” if Roberto Carballes Baena wins set 2.
If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Fearnley" if Jacob Fearnley wins 4.5 or more total games than Roberto Carballes Baena in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Baena".
Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Fearnley" if Jacob Fearnley wins by 2 or more sets than Roberto Carballes Baena, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Baena."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.Jacob Fearnley holds a clear edge in this US Open qualifying opener on outdoor hard courts, reflected in trader consensus around 70-75% implied probability. The 25-year-old Briton ranks roughly 80 spots higher at No. 107 and posted a stronger 55% win rate over the past year, including solid hard-court results in Montreal and recent challenger events. He also leads the head-to-head 1-0 after a straight-sets victory on clay in 2025. Carballes Baena, now 33 and ranked No. 190, enters with a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches and limited recent success on hard or at this level. Surface, age, and current form all tilt toward the higher-ranked player, though qualifying matches remain inherently volatile.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Roberto Carballes Baena.
This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Jacob Fearnley.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Roberto Carballes Baena.
This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Jacob Fearnley.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
交易量
$134结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 7:05 PM ET8时 8分 17秒
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Roberto Carballes Baena.
This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Jacob Fearnley.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Fearnley” if Jacob Fearnley wins the first set. It will resolve to “Baena” if Roberto Carballes Baena wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Fearnley” if Jacob Fearnley wins set 2. It will resolve to “Baena” if Roberto Carballes Baena wins set 2.
If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Fearnley" if Jacob Fearnley wins 4.5 or more total games than Roberto Carballes Baena in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Baena".
Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Fearnley" if Jacob Fearnley wins by 2 or more sets than Roberto Carballes Baena, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Baena."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.Jacob Fearnley holds a clear edge in this US Open qualifying opener on outdoor hard courts, reflected in trader consensus around 70-75% implied probability. The 25-year-old Briton ranks roughly 80 spots higher at No. 107 and posted a stronger 55% win rate over the past year, including solid hard-court results in Montreal and recent challenger events. He also leads the head-to-head 1-0 after a straight-sets victory on clay in 2025. Carballes Baena, now 33 and ranked No. 190, enters with a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches and limited recent success on hard or at this level. Surface, age, and current form all tilt toward the higher-ranked player, though qualifying matches remain inherently volatile.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Roberto Carballes Baena.
This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Jacob Fearnley.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Roberto Carballes Baena.
This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Jacob Fearnley.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
交易量
$134结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 7:05 PM ETJacob Fearnley holds a clear edge in this US Open qualifying opener on outdoor hard courts, reflected in trader consensus around 70-75% implied probability. The 25-year-old Briton ranks roughly 80 spots higher at No. 107 and posted a stronger 55% win rate over the past year, including solid hard-court results in Montreal and recent challenger events. He also leads the head-to-head 1-0 after a straight-sets victory on clay in 2025. Carballes Baena, now 33 and ranked No. 190, enters with a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches and limited recent success on hard or at this level. Surface, age, and current form all tilt toward the higher-ranked player, though qualifying matches remain inherently volatile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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