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降息 預測與賠率

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Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

23%

December Meeting

$2M 交易量

$85.3K today

$199K Liq.

17

Ends 8 天內

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

10%

$106K 交易量

$3.4K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

14%

$28.2K 交易量

$1.6K Liq.

1

Ends 7 個月內

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

80%

0 (0 bps)

$33M 交易量

$235K today

$2M Liq.

83

Ends 7 個月內

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

80%

Rate / Cut

$642 交易量

$8.8K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

72%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2.1K 交易量

$74.4K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

93%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$54.2K 交易量

$55.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

99%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2M 交易量

$85.9K today

$84.6K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

South African Reserve Bank decision in July?

South African Reserve Bank decision in July?

68%

50+ bps cut

$1.3K 交易量

$832 Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

40%

October Meeting

$157K 交易量

$82.4K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

Bank of Israel decision in August?

Bank of Israel decision in August?

54%

25 bps cut

$0 交易量

$2.4K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August

69%

No change

$973 交易量

$16.1K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

Bank of Canada Decision in July?

Bank of Canada Decision in July?

93%

No Change

$9.6K 交易量

$13.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

64%

50+ bps increase

$215 交易量

$869 Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Bank of England decision in July?

Bank of England decision in July?

79%

No change

$4.4K 交易量

$11.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

74%

No change

$188K 交易量

$309K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Bank of Korea decision in August?

Bank of Korea decision in August?

82%

25 bps cut

$1.3K 交易量

$6.9K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

24%

↓ 3.25%

$2M 交易量

$125K Liq.

10

Ends 7 個月內

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

82%

No change

$12.4K 交易量

$29.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

99%

No change

$73M 交易量

$3M today

$5M Liq.

1

Ends 8 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for 降息 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed rate cut by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $112.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “ECB rate cut in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed Decision in June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed Decision in June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 降息 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.