David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with a narrow margin of roughly 0.48 percentage points over Francesca Hong. Hong conceded the race shortly after results were certified and publicly stated she would not request a recount under Wisconsin law, which permits candidates to seek one when the margin falls below 1% but requires the petitioner to cover costs beyond a 0.25% threshold. The Wisconsin Elections Commission orders recounts only upon timely formal request from eligible parties, and no such filing has occurred or appears imminent. With the deadline for any petition approaching and the leading candidate declining to pursue one, traders assign a 95% probability against an official recount order by August 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
5% 機率
最新
最新
2026-08-31
是
5% 機率
最新
最新
2026-08-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with a narrow margin of roughly 0.48 percentage points over Francesca Hong. Hong conceded the race shortly after results were certified and publicly stated she would not request a recount under Wisconsin law, which permits candidates to seek one when the margin falls below 1% but requires the petitioner to cover costs beyond a 0.25% threshold. The Wisconsin Elections Commission orders recounts only upon timely formal request from eligible parties, and no such filing has occurred or appears imminent. With the deadline for any petition approaching and the leading candidate declining to pursue one, traders assign a 95% probability against an official recount order by August 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
交易量
$1,789結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with a narrow margin of roughly 0.48 percentage points over Francesca Hong. Hong conceded the race shortly after results were certified and publicly stated she would not request a recount under Wisconsin law, which permits candidates to seek one when the margin falls below 1% but requires the petitioner to cover costs beyond a 0.25% threshold. The Wisconsin Elections Commission orders recounts only upon timely formal request from eligible parties, and no such filing has occurred or appears imminent. With the deadline for any petition approaching and the leading candidate declining to pursue one, traders assign a 95% probability against an official recount order by August 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,789結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with a narrow margin of roughly 0.48 percentage points over Francesca Hong. Hong conceded the race shortly after results were certified and publicly stated she would not request a recount under Wisconsin law, which permits candidates to seek one when the margin falls below 1% but requires the petitioner to cover costs beyond a 0.25% threshold. The Wisconsin Elections Commission orders recounts only upon timely formal request from eligible parties, and no such filing has occurred or appears imminent. With the deadline for any petition approaching and the leading candidate declining to pursue one, traders assign a 95% probability against an official recount order by August 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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