The US House's partisan composition and entrenched bipartisan backing for security assistance to Israel render passage of restrictive legislation by September 30 improbable, consistent with the 97% trader consensus favoring "No." No committee markups or floor scheduling for such measures have advanced in recent weeks, while leadership priorities continue to emphasize continued aid amid regional security concerns. The short remaining window leaves little procedural room for new bills or amendments to reach a vote. Shifts could still arise from sudden Middle East escalations prompting policy reconsideration, changes in House control, or unexpected coalition-building during must-pass appropriations packages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
3% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
是
3% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US House's partisan composition and entrenched bipartisan backing for security assistance to Israel render passage of restrictive legislation by September 30 improbable, consistent with the 97% trader consensus favoring "No." No committee markups or floor scheduling for such measures have advanced in recent weeks, while leadership priorities continue to emphasize continued aid amid regional security concerns. The short remaining window leaves little procedural room for new bills or amendments to reach a vote. Shifts could still arise from sudden Middle East escalations prompting policy reconsideration, changes in House control, or unexpected coalition-building during must-pass appropriations packages.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
交易量
$1,972結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US House's partisan composition and entrenched bipartisan backing for security assistance to Israel render passage of restrictive legislation by September 30 improbable, consistent with the 97% trader consensus favoring "No." No committee markups or floor scheduling for such measures have advanced in recent weeks, while leadership priorities continue to emphasize continued aid amid regional security concerns. The short remaining window leaves little procedural room for new bills or amendments to reach a vote. Shifts could still arise from sudden Middle East escalations prompting policy reconsideration, changes in House control, or unexpected coalition-building during must-pass appropriations packages.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,972結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ETThe US House's partisan composition and entrenched bipartisan backing for security assistance to Israel render passage of restrictive legislation by September 30 improbable, consistent with the 97% trader consensus favoring "No." No committee markups or floor scheduling for such measures have advanced in recent weeks, while leadership priorities continue to emphasize continued aid amid regional security concerns. The short remaining window leaves little procedural room for new bills or amendments to reach a vote. Shifts could still arise from sudden Middle East escalations prompting policy reconsideration, changes in House control, or unexpected coalition-building during must-pass appropriations packages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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