Russian forces have conducted ongoing offensive operations northwest and northeast of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, with milbloggers claiming the seizure of Bilytske on July 26, 2026, based on disputed footage, though independent assessments report no confirmed territorial gains in the immediate area. Russian units continue small-group assaults, aerial reconnaissance, and demining efforts north of Pokrovsk aimed at reaching Dobropillya, amid broader efforts to expand control in the Pokrovsk direction following the earlier capture of the city itself. Ukrainian forces maintain defensive positions while employing drones and strikes to disrupt advances, contributing to a pattern of incremental Russian pressure without rapid breakthroughs. Upcoming intensified assaults and any verified ground changes in the coming weeks could shift trader assessments of capture timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$295,795 交易量
2026-08-31
8月31日
23%
9月30日
47%
12月31日
73%
$295,795 交易量
8月31日
$26,399 交易量
23%
9月30日
$12,707 交易量
47%
12月31日
$10,015 交易量
73%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted ongoing offensive operations northwest and northeast of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, with milbloggers claiming the seizure of Bilytske on July 26, 2026, based on disputed footage, though independent assessments report no confirmed territorial gains in the immediate area. Russian units continue small-group assaults, aerial reconnaissance, and demining efforts north of Pokrovsk aimed at reaching Dobropillya, amid broader efforts to expand control in the Pokrovsk direction following the earlier capture of the city itself. Ukrainian forces maintain defensive positions while employing drones and strikes to disrupt advances, contributing to a pattern of incremental Russian pressure without rapid breakthroughs. Upcoming intensified assaults and any verified ground changes in the coming weeks could shift trader assessments of capture timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
交易量
$295,795結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted ongoing offensive operations northwest and northeast of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, with milbloggers claiming the seizure of Bilytske on July 26, 2026, based on disputed footage, though independent assessments report no confirmed territorial gains in the immediate area. Russian units continue small-group assaults, aerial reconnaissance, and demining efforts north of Pokrovsk aimed at reaching Dobropillya, amid broader efforts to expand control in the Pokrovsk direction following the earlier capture of the city itself. Ukrainian forces maintain defensive positions while employing drones and strikes to disrupt advances, contributing to a pattern of incremental Russian pressure without rapid breakthroughs. Upcoming intensified assaults and any verified ground changes in the coming weeks could shift trader assessments of capture timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the building under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Building Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP1.png
Building Location in Bilytske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP2.png
Bilytske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BP3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/J8DsAv3gKWbD4DSD9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
交易量
$295,795結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted ongoing offensive operations northwest and northeast of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, with milbloggers claiming the seizure of Bilytske on July 26, 2026, based on disputed footage, though independent assessments report no confirmed territorial gains in the immediate area. Russian units continue small-group assaults, aerial reconnaissance, and demining efforts north of Pokrovsk aimed at reaching Dobropillya, amid broader efforts to expand control in the Pokrovsk direction following the earlier capture of the city itself. Ukrainian forces maintain defensive positions while employing drones and strikes to disrupt advances, contributing to a pattern of incremental Russian pressure without rapid breakthroughs. Upcoming intensified assaults and any verified ground changes in the coming weeks could shift trader assessments of capture timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions