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icon for 克拉倫斯·湯瑪斯會在…前宣布退休嗎?

克拉倫斯·湯瑪斯會在…前宣布退休嗎?

icon for 克拉倫斯·湯瑪斯會在…前宣布退休嗎?

克拉倫斯·湯瑪斯會在…前宣布退休嗎?

$10,810 交易量

2027-06-30
Polymarket

$10,810 交易量

Polymarket

2026年9月30日

$56 交易量

4%

2026年12月31日

$1,323 交易量

8%

2027年6月30日

$9,430 交易量

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Justice Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s longest-serving member at age 77, has shown no signs of retirement as of mid-September 2026. Sources close to him stated in April that he has no plans to step down this year or in the near term, consistent with his expressed interest in serving into the 2030s and his recent activity on the bench, including oral arguments. President Trump has publicly encouraged both Thomas and Justice Alito to remain, avoiding vacancies during the current term. No health concerns, ethical issues, or institutional pressures have surfaced to shift this position, and Article III lifetime tenure provides no mandatory timeline. Traders price a very low probability of an announcement by late 2026, reflecting the absence of catalysts that could alter his stated intentions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
交易量
$10,810
結束日期
2027-07-01
市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Justice Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s longest-serving member at age 77, has shown no signs of retirement as of mid-September 2026. Sources close to him stated in April that he has no plans to step down this year or in the near term, consistent with his expressed interest in serving into the 2030s and his recent activity on the bench, including oral arguments. President Trump has publicly encouraged both Thomas and Justice Alito to remain, avoiding vacancies during the current term. No health concerns, ethical issues, or institutional pressures have surfaced to shift this position, and Article III lifetime tenure provides no mandatory timeline. Traders price a very low probability of an announcement by late 2026, reflecting the absence of catalysts that could alter his stated intentions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
交易量
$10,810
結束日期
2027-07-01
市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"克拉倫斯·湯瑪斯會在…前宣布退休嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2027年6月30日" at 14%, followed by "2026年12月31日" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "克拉倫斯·湯瑪斯會在…前宣布退休嗎?" has generated $10.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "克拉倫斯·湯瑪斯會在…前宣布退休嗎?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "克拉倫斯·湯瑪斯會在…前宣布退休嗎?" is "2027年6月30日" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "克拉倫斯·湯瑪斯會在…前宣布退休嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.