ArrowCS, the Counter-Strike 2 streamer, faces low implied probability of eating a bug on stream by year-end due to the absence of any confirmed commitment or recent momentum behind the long-running chat meme. His consistent on-stream denials and focus on standard CS2 gameplay, case openings, and community interaction have not shifted toward performative challenges that would justify higher "Yes" pricing. Traders view the detailed resolution criteria—requiring clear live footage of mouth closure on a recognizable insect part—as creating a high bar with no supporting roster changes, schedule pressure, or matchup dynamics to elevate the chance. Without fresh developments in his streaming form or external prompts, the market reflects consensus that the action remains unlikely through December.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於10% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
10% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ArrowCS eats a bug during any livestreams between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast.
A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod.
The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count.
ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market.
The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.ArrowCS, the Counter-Strike 2 streamer, faces low implied probability of eating a bug on stream by year-end due to the absence of any confirmed commitment or recent momentum behind the long-running chat meme. His consistent on-stream denials and focus on standard CS2 gameplay, case openings, and community interaction have not shifted toward performative challenges that would justify higher "Yes" pricing. Traders view the detailed resolution criteria—requiring clear live footage of mouth closure on a recognizable insect part—as creating a high bar with no supporting roster changes, schedule pressure, or matchup dynamics to elevate the chance. Without fresh developments in his streaming form or external prompts, the market reflects consensus that the action remains unlikely through December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ArrowCS eats a bug during any livestreams between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast.
A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod.
The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count.
ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market.
The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.
"Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast.
A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod.
The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count.
ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market.
The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.
市場開放時間： Jul 17, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
交易量
$1,697結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jul 17, 2026, 3:54 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if ArrowCS eats a bug during any livestreams between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast.
A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod.
The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count.
ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market.
The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.ArrowCS, the Counter-Strike 2 streamer, faces low implied probability of eating a bug on stream by year-end due to the absence of any confirmed commitment or recent momentum behind the long-running chat meme. His consistent on-stream denials and focus on standard CS2 gameplay, case openings, and community interaction have not shifted toward performative challenges that would justify higher "Yes" pricing. Traders view the detailed resolution criteria—requiring clear live footage of mouth closure on a recognizable insect part—as creating a high bar with no supporting roster changes, schedule pressure, or matchup dynamics to elevate the chance. Without fresh developments in his streaming form or external prompts, the market reflects consensus that the action remains unlikely through December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ArrowCS eats a bug during any livestreams between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast.
A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod.
The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count.
ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market.
The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.
"Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast.
A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod.
The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count.
ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market.
The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.
交易量
$1,697結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jul 17, 2026, 3:54 PM ETArrowCS, the Counter-Strike 2 streamer, faces low implied probability of eating a bug on stream by year-end due to the absence of any confirmed commitment or recent momentum behind the long-running chat meme. His consistent on-stream denials and focus on standard CS2 gameplay, case openings, and community interaction have not shifted toward performative challenges that would justify higher "Yes" pricing. Traders view the detailed resolution criteria—requiring clear live footage of mouth closure on a recognizable insect part—as creating a high bar with no supporting roster changes, schedule pressure, or matchup dynamics to elevate the chance. Without fresh developments in his streaming form or external prompts, the market reflects consensus that the action remains unlikely through December.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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Frequently Asked Questions