Recent polling shows Democrats holding a substantial lead over Republicans among young men (ages 18-29) on the generic congressional ballot for the 2026 midterms, with margins ranging from 12 to 30 points among registered or likely voters. This positioning stems from falling approval for the Trump administration among this group—now underwater by more than 30 points—alongside priorities like inflation, housing costs, and concerns over perceived corruption or overreach. Young men who backed Republicans in 2024 appear more likely to sit out the midterms than the next presidential contest, while undecided voters and shifts among moderates and some Trump voters bolster the Democratic edge. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these patterns from multiple 2026 surveys.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-06
民主黨
72%
共和黨
31%
最新
最新
2026-11-06
民主黨
$0 交易量
72%
共和黨
$0 交易量
31%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling shows Democrats holding a substantial lead over Republicans among young men (ages 18-29) on the generic congressional ballot for the 2026 midterms, with margins ranging from 12 to 30 points among registered or likely voters. This positioning stems from falling approval for the Trump administration among this group—now underwater by more than 30 points—alongside priorities like inflation, housing costs, and concerns over perceived corruption or overreach. Young men who backed Republicans in 2024 appear more likely to sit out the midterms than the next presidential contest, while undecided voters and shifts among moderates and some Trump voters bolster the Democratic edge. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these patterns from multiple 2026 surveys.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-06市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETThe 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling shows Democrats holding a substantial lead over Republicans among young men (ages 18-29) on the generic congressional ballot for the 2026 midterms, with margins ranging from 12 to 30 points among registered or likely voters. This positioning stems from falling approval for the Trump administration among this group—now underwater by more than 30 points—alongside priorities like inflation, housing costs, and concerns over perceived corruption or overreach. Young men who backed Republicans in 2024 appear more likely to sit out the midterms than the next presidential contest, while undecided voters and shifts among moderates and some Trump voters bolster the Democratic edge. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these patterns from multiple 2026 surveys.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-06市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETRecent polling shows Democrats holding a substantial lead over Republicans among young men (ages 18-29) on the generic congressional ballot for the 2026 midterms, with margins ranging from 12 to 30 points among registered or likely voters. This positioning stems from falling approval for the Trump administration among this group—now underwater by more than 30 points—alongside priorities like inflation, housing costs, and concerns over perceived corruption or overreach. Young men who backed Republicans in 2024 appear more likely to sit out the midterms than the next presidential contest, while undecided voters and shifts among moderates and some Trump voters bolster the Democratic edge. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these patterns from multiple 2026 surveys.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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