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icon for MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

icon for MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

$34,370 交易量

2026-10-11
Polymarket

$34,370 交易量

Polymarket

Yordan Alvarez

$1,585 交易量

70%

馬特·奧爾森

$3,335 交易量

82%

小卡米內羅

$3,031 交易量

86%

大谷翔平

$1,472 交易量

8%

Colson Montgomery

$1,026 交易量

8%

布蘭登·洛

$1,893 交易量

7%

拜仁·巴克斯頓

$2,464 交易量

6%

喬丹·沃克

$769 交易量

5%

村上宗隆

$543 交易量

5%

米格爾·巴爾加斯

$129 交易量

5%

$0 交易量

4%

Dillon Dingler

$3,419 交易量

4%

威爾森·康特雷拉斯

$399 交易量

4%

Ketel Marte

$393 交易量

4%

CJ Abrams

$1,530 交易量

4%

詹姆斯·伍德

$1,555 交易量

3%

Nick Kurtz

$263 交易量

3%

Mike Trout

$681 交易量

3%

$130 交易量

3%

岡本和真

$83 交易量

3%

布萊斯·哈波

$457 交易量

2%

胡安·索托

$360 交易量

2%

Manny Machado

$272 交易量

2%

Christian Walker

$390 交易量

2%

亞倫·賈吉

$1,786 交易量

2%

謝伊·蘭傑利爾斯

$2,432 交易量

1%

彼特·阿隆索

$127 交易量

50%

Ben Rice

$317 交易量

52%

亨特·古德曼

$2,466 交易量

51%

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber leads MLB with 40-plus home runs as of early September 2026, followed closely by Pete Crow-Armstrong at 38 and a group including Yordan Alvarez, Junior Caminero, and Matt Olson at 37. With roughly 20-25 games remaining, several contenders project to finish in the low-to-mid 40s based on recent pace and ballpark factors. Late-season home run surges remain common for power hitters facing favorable matchups, while rest, minor injuries, or lineup shifts could slow individual totals. The crowded leaderboard and strong recent form among top sluggers reflect broad trader consensus that at least one player will clear the 40-home-run threshold by the end of the regular season.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$34,370
結束日期
2026-10-11
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber leads MLB with 40-plus home runs as of early September 2026, followed closely by Pete Crow-Armstrong at 38 and a group including Yordan Alvarez, Junior Caminero, and Matt Olson at 37. With roughly 20-25 games remaining, several contenders project to finish in the low-to-mid 40s based on recent pace and ballpark factors. Late-season home run surges remain common for power hitters facing favorable matchups, while rest, minor injuries, or lineup shifts could slow individual totals. The crowded leaderboard and strong recent form among top sluggers reflect broad trader consensus that at least one player will clear the 40-home-run threshold by the end of the regular season.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$34,370
結束日期
2026-10-11
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "凱爾·施瓦伯" at 100%, followed by "小卡米內羅" at 86%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" has generated $34.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" is "凱爾·施瓦伯" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "小卡米內羅" at 86%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.