**Newly promoted sides Le Mans and Troyes, alongside Angers and Le Havre, head most pre-season models as the primary relegation candidates for the 2026-27 Ligue 1 campaign.** Le Mans return after 16 years away with limited top-flight experience, while Troyes (Ligue 2 champions) lost key personnel from their promotion squad. Historical patterns show promoted clubs frequently battle at the bottom due to the jump in quality and pace. Early matchday results have reinforced concerns, with Auxerre winless after heavy defeats and several mid-to-lower table sides posting poor starts. Pre-season simulations assign Le Mans the highest relegation probability (around 79% in one model), followed by Le Havre and Troyes, reflecting squad depth issues and recent form. Coaching transitions at clubs like Paris FC and Marseille add uncertainty, though the focus remains on survival for the promoted and previously struggling sides through the 34-match schedule. Market pricing aligns with this consensus on the elevated risk for these teams.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Le Mans
55%
Nice
51%
Auxerre
50%
Toulouse
50%
Strasbourg
50%
Troyes
50%
Angers
50%
Brest
50%
Le Havre
50%
Lorient
50%
Lyon
50%
Paris FC
50%
Rennes
11%
Paris Saint-Germain
5%
Lens
5%
Lille
5%
Marseille
5%
Monaco
5%
$0.00 交易量
Le Mans
55%
Nice
51%
Auxerre
50%
Toulouse
50%
Strasbourg
50%
Troyes
50%
Angers
50%
Brest
50%
Le Havre
50%
Lorient
50%
Lyon
50%
Paris FC
50%
Rennes
11%
Paris Saint-Germain
5%
Lens
5%
Lille
5%
Marseille
5%
Monaco
5%
Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Ligue 1 for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Ligue 1, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Ligue 1.
If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Ligue 1 for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Ligue 1, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Ligue 1.
If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Newly promoted sides Le Mans and Troyes, alongside Angers and Le Havre, head most pre-season models as the primary relegation candidates for the 2026-27 Ligue 1 campaign.** Le Mans return after 16 years away with limited top-flight experience, while Troyes (Ligue 2 champions) lost key personnel from their promotion squad. Historical patterns show promoted clubs frequently battle at the bottom due to the jump in quality and pace. Early matchday results have reinforced concerns, with Auxerre winless after heavy defeats and several mid-to-lower table sides posting poor starts. Pre-season simulations assign Le Mans the highest relegation probability (around 79% in one model), followed by Le Havre and Troyes, reflecting squad depth issues and recent form. Coaching transitions at clubs like Paris FC and Marseille add uncertainty, though the focus remains on survival for the promoted and previously struggling sides through the 34-match schedule. Market pricing aligns with this consensus on the elevated risk for these teams.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions