Iran's supreme leader succession process concluded in early March 2026 when the Assembly of Experts selected Mojtaba Khamenei to replace his father, Ali Khamenei, who was killed in late February during U.S.-Israeli strikes that also eliminated other senior figures. An interim leadership council of the president, judiciary chief, and a senior cleric managed affairs during the transition amid active conflict. As of August 2026, the new supreme leader has maintained a low public profile with occasional health speculation, while overseeing IRGC and military command appointments, national security council changes, and responses to U.S. sanctions enforcement targeting revenue networks. Economic strain, including rial depreciation and inflation, alongside internal security exercises, shapes ongoing institutional continuity and any potential future shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,057,007 交易量
2026-12-31
8月31日
<1%
9月30日
3%
10月31日
7%
11月30日
10%
12月31日
16%
2027年6月30日
25%
$24,057,007 交易量
8月31日
$1,461,653 交易量
<1%
9月30日
$490,857 交易量
3%
10月31日
$26,233 交易量
7%
11月30日
$18,839 交易量
10%
12月31日
$4,120,003 交易量
16%
2027年6月30日
$251,699 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's supreme leader succession process concluded in early March 2026 when the Assembly of Experts selected Mojtaba Khamenei to replace his father, Ali Khamenei, who was killed in late February during U.S.-Israeli strikes that also eliminated other senior figures. An interim leadership council of the president, judiciary chief, and a senior cleric managed affairs during the transition amid active conflict. As of August 2026, the new supreme leader has maintained a low public profile with occasional health speculation, while overseeing IRGC and military command appointments, national security council changes, and responses to U.S. sanctions enforcement targeting revenue networks. Economic strain, including rial depreciation and inflation, alongside internal security exercises, shapes ongoing institutional continuity and any potential future shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
交易量
$24,057,007結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's supreme leader succession process concluded in early March 2026 when the Assembly of Experts selected Mojtaba Khamenei to replace his father, Ali Khamenei, who was killed in late February during U.S.-Israeli strikes that also eliminated other senior figures. An interim leadership council of the president, judiciary chief, and a senior cleric managed affairs during the transition amid active conflict. As of August 2026, the new supreme leader has maintained a low public profile with occasional health speculation, while overseeing IRGC and military command appointments, national security council changes, and responses to U.S. sanctions enforcement targeting revenue networks. Economic strain, including rial depreciation and inflation, alongside internal security exercises, shapes ongoing institutional continuity and any potential future shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$24,057,007結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's supreme leader succession process concluded in early March 2026 when the Assembly of Experts selected Mojtaba Khamenei to replace his father, Ali Khamenei, who was killed in late February during U.S.-Israeli strikes that also eliminated other senior figures. An interim leadership council of the president, judiciary chief, and a senior cleric managed affairs during the transition amid active conflict. As of August 2026, the new supreme leader has maintained a low public profile with occasional health speculation, while overseeing IRGC and military command appointments, national security council changes, and responses to U.S. sanctions enforcement targeting revenue networks. Economic strain, including rial depreciation and inflation, alongside internal security exercises, shapes ongoing institutional continuity and any potential future shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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