Recent western U.S. heat waves and NOAA forecasts for above-normal temperatures through mid-August have created tight competition among low-to-moderate bins in this market. Traders weigh the potential for dozens of stations to surpass historical maxima against the challenge of exceeding entrenched all-time highs, especially outside peak heat-dome zones. July’s widespread record breaks set a high bar, while early August activity in the Southwest and Plains could add incremental gains without guaranteeing broad surges. Variability in heat persistence, regional coverage, and any late-month cooling could quickly shift probabilities between the 0-20 and 21-60 ranges that currently lead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年8月，美國氣象站將打破多少歷史高溫紀錄？
2026年8月，美國氣象站將打破多少歷史高溫紀錄？
61至100 43%
151+ 41%
0-20 41%
21-60 41%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
0-20
41%
21-60
41%
61至100
43%
101-150
34%
151+
41%
61至100 43%
151+ 41%
0-20 41%
21-60 41%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
0-20
$0 交易量
41%
21-60
$0 交易量
41%
61至100
$0 交易量
43%
101-150
$0 交易量
34%
151+
$0 交易量
41%
This market resolves to the number shown in the "BROKEN" column of NOAA's Daily Weather Records tool when filtered to all-time record highs for August 2026. Tied records do not count. The tool is located at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.Recent western U.S. heat waves and NOAA forecasts for above-normal temperatures through mid-August have created tight competition among low-to-moderate bins in this market. Traders weigh the potential for dozens of stations to surpass historical maxima against the challenge of exceeding entrenched all-time highs, especially outside peak heat-dome zones. July’s widespread record breaks set a high bar, while early August activity in the Southwest and Plains could add incremental gains without guaranteeing broad surges. Variability in heat persistence, regional coverage, and any late-month cooling could quickly shift probabilities between the 0-20 and 21-60 ranges that currently lead.
This market resolves to the number shown in the "BROKEN" column of NOAA's Daily Weather Records tool when filtered to all-time record highs for August 2026. Tied records do not count. The tool is located at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market resolves to the number shown in the "BROKEN" column of NOAA's Daily Weather Records tool when filtered to all-time record highs for August 2026. Tied records do not count. The tool is located at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.Recent western U.S. heat waves and NOAA forecasts for above-normal temperatures through mid-August have created tight competition among low-to-moderate bins in this market. Traders weigh the potential for dozens of stations to surpass historical maxima against the challenge of exceeding entrenched all-time highs, especially outside peak heat-dome zones. July’s widespread record breaks set a high bar, while early August activity in the Southwest and Plains could add incremental gains without guaranteeing broad surges. Variability in heat persistence, regional coverage, and any late-month cooling could quickly shift probabilities between the 0-20 and 21-60 ranges that currently lead.
This market resolves to the number shown in the "BROKEN" column of NOAA's Daily Weather Records tool when filtered to all-time record highs for August 2026. Tied records do not count. The tool is located at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent western U.S. heat waves and NOAA forecasts for above-normal temperatures through mid-August have created tight competition among low-to-moderate bins in this market. Traders weigh the potential for dozens of stations to surpass historical maxima against the challenge of exceeding entrenched all-time highs, especially outside peak heat-dome zones. July’s widespread record breaks set a high bar, while early August activity in the Southwest and Plains could add incremental gains without guaranteeing broad surges. Variability in heat persistence, regional coverage, and any late-month cooling could quickly shift probabilities between the 0-20 and 21-60 ranges that currently lead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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