Turkish courts have kept Ekrem İmamoğlu in pre-trial detention at Marmara Prison since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, and related charges tied to Istanbul municipal operations. The main case, involving over 400 defendants, began hearings in March 2026 and remains in the evidence and defense phase with regular custody reviews that have consistently denied his release requests while granting conditional freedom to dozens of co-defendants. A September 11, 2026, verdict in a separate insulting-a-public-official case imposed a two-year-one-month prison term and political rights restrictions, subject to appeal. These overlapping proceedings, combined with the scale of the indictment and absence of procedural or executive shifts that would alter custody status before year-end, underpin trader expectations that İmamoğlu will remain in custody through December 31, 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
6% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish courts have kept Ekrem İmamoğlu in pre-trial detention at Marmara Prison since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, and related charges tied to Istanbul municipal operations. The main case, involving over 400 defendants, began hearings in March 2026 and remains in the evidence and defense phase with regular custody reviews that have consistently denied his release requests while granting conditional freedom to dozens of co-defendants. A September 11, 2026, verdict in a separate insulting-a-public-official case imposed a two-year-one-month prison term and political rights restrictions, subject to appeal. These overlapping proceedings, combined with the scale of the indictment and absence of procedural or executive shifts that would alter custody status before year-end, underpin trader expectations that İmamoğlu will remain in custody through December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
交易量
$6,407結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish courts have kept Ekrem İmamoğlu in pre-trial detention at Marmara Prison since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, and related charges tied to Istanbul municipal operations. The main case, involving over 400 defendants, began hearings in March 2026 and remains in the evidence and defense phase with regular custody reviews that have consistently denied his release requests while granting conditional freedom to dozens of co-defendants. A September 11, 2026, verdict in a separate insulting-a-public-official case imposed a two-year-one-month prison term and political rights restrictions, subject to appeal. These overlapping proceedings, combined with the scale of the indictment and absence of procedural or executive shifts that would alter custody status before year-end, underpin trader expectations that İmamoğlu will remain in custody through December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,407結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETTurkish courts have kept Ekrem İmamoğlu in pre-trial detention at Marmara Prison since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, and related charges tied to Istanbul municipal operations. The main case, involving over 400 defendants, began hearings in March 2026 and remains in the evidence and defense phase with regular custody reviews that have consistently denied his release requests while granting conditional freedom to dozens of co-defendants. A September 11, 2026, verdict in a separate insulting-a-public-official case imposed a two-year-one-month prison term and political rights restrictions, subject to appeal. These overlapping proceedings, combined with the scale of the indictment and absence of procedural or executive shifts that would alter custody status before year-end, underpin trader expectations that İmamoğlu will remain in custody through December 31, 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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