Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, and related charges, with the mass trial involving over 400 co-defendants continuing through 2026 court hearings at Silivri prison. Turkish courts have granted conditional release to some defendants in the case but have kept the Istanbul mayor in custody, consistent with the broader pattern of judicial proceedings against opposition figures. As of mid-August 2026, no rulings or executive actions have altered his status, and the trial timeline extends well beyond the year. These developments underpin the 94.5% trader consensus against release in 2026, reflecting the legal framework, ongoing proceedings, and absence of intervening political or judicial shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-30
6% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, and related charges, with the mass trial involving over 400 co-defendants continuing through 2026 court hearings at Silivri prison. Turkish courts have granted conditional release to some defendants in the case but have kept the Istanbul mayor in custody, consistent with the broader pattern of judicial proceedings against opposition figures. As of mid-August 2026, no rulings or executive actions have altered his status, and the trial timeline extends well beyond the year. These developments underpin the 94.5% trader consensus against release in 2026, reflecting the legal framework, ongoing proceedings, and absence of intervening political or judicial shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
交易量
$6,387結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, and related charges, with the mass trial involving over 400 co-defendants continuing through 2026 court hearings at Silivri prison. Turkish courts have granted conditional release to some defendants in the case but have kept the Istanbul mayor in custody, consistent with the broader pattern of judicial proceedings against opposition figures. As of mid-August 2026, no rulings or executive actions have altered his status, and the trial timeline extends well beyond the year. These developments underpin the 94.5% trader consensus against release in 2026, reflecting the legal framework, ongoing proceedings, and absence of intervening political or judicial shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,387結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, and related charges, with the mass trial involving over 400 co-defendants continuing through 2026 court hearings at Silivri prison. Turkish courts have granted conditional release to some defendants in the case but have kept the Istanbul mayor in custody, consistent with the broader pattern of judicial proceedings against opposition figures. As of mid-August 2026, no rulings or executive actions have altered his status, and the trial timeline extends well beyond the year. These developments underpin the 94.5% trader consensus against release in 2026, reflecting the legal framework, ongoing proceedings, and absence of intervening political or judicial shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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