Harry Kane holds a commanding lead in the Ballon d'Or 2026 market due to his prolific scoring and leadership in Bayern Munich's Bundesliga title push plus England's strong showing in the 2026 World Cup cycle. Traders have priced in his consistent output across club and international fixtures, outpacing emerging talents like Lamine Yamal, whose breakout form and playmaking for Barcelona explain the second-place probability. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi sit lower amid varying team results, age considerations, and competition from other forwards. Recent injury recoveries, tactical fits, and head-to-head comparisons in European competitions continue to shape these implied probabilities ahead of final voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於哈里·凱恩 66.5%
拉明·亞馬爾 14.0%
基利安·姆巴佩 7.4%
羅德里 6%
$32,515,962 交易量
$32,515,962 交易量
2026-10-30
哈里·凱恩
67%
拉明·亞馬爾
14%
基利安·姆巴佩
7%
羅德里
6%
萊納爾·梅西
2%
克維查·克瓦拉茨赫利亞
2%
奧斯曼·登貝萊
1%
法比安·魯伊斯
1%
厄林·哈蘭德
<1%
裘德·貝林漢
<1%
維蒂尼亞
<1%
邁克爾·奧利塞
<1%
穆罕默德·薩拉赫
<1%
維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾
<1%
佩德里
<1%
科爾·帕爾默
<1%
迪克蘭·賴斯
<1%
朱利安·阿爾瓦雷斯
<1%
拉芬尼亞
<1%
布魯諾·費爾南德斯
<1%
勞塔羅·馬丁內斯
<1%
克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多
<1%
恩佐·費爾南德斯
<1%
費德里科·巴爾韋德
<1%
德西雷·杜埃
<1%
阿什拉夫·哈基米
<1%
路易斯·迪亞斯
<1%
多米尼克·索博斯洛伊
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
羅德里戈
<1%
布卡約·薩卡
<1%
哈里·凱恩 66.5%
拉明·亞馬爾 14.0%
基利安·姆巴佩 7.4%
羅德里 6%
$32,515,962 交易量
$32,515,962 交易量
2026-10-30
哈里·凱恩
$3,973,113 交易量
67%
拉明·亞馬爾
$2,097,821 交易量
14%
基利安·姆巴佩
$1,927,402 交易量
7%
羅德里
$1,416,150 交易量
6%
萊納爾·梅西
$2,276,141 交易量
2%
克維查·克瓦拉茨赫利亞
$1,385,043 交易量
2%
奧斯曼·登貝萊
$2,079,414 交易量
1%
法比安·魯伊斯
$1,079,887 交易量
1%
厄林·哈蘭德
$1,485,993 交易量
<1%
裘德·貝林漢
$1,196,254 交易量
<1%
維蒂尼亞
$795,977 交易量
<1%
邁克爾·奧利塞
$1,395,124 交易量
<1%
穆罕默德·薩拉赫
$1,058,728 交易量
<1%
維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾
$1,068,433 交易量
<1%
佩德里
$886,501 交易量
<1%
科爾·帕爾默
$681,943 交易量
<1%
迪克蘭·賴斯
$854,946 交易量
<1%
朱利安·阿爾瓦雷斯
$737,173 交易量
<1%
拉芬尼亞
$695,112 交易量
<1%
布魯諾·費爾南德斯
$709,222 交易量
<1%
勞塔羅·馬丁內斯
$489,013 交易量
<1%
克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多
$473,380 交易量
<1%
恩佐·費爾南德斯
$67,071 交易量
<1%
費德里科·巴爾韋德
$448,093 交易量
<1%
德西雷·杜埃
$743,542 交易量
<1%
阿什拉夫·哈基米
$740,083 交易量
<1%
路易斯·迪亞斯
$440,734 交易量
<1%
多米尼克·索博斯洛伊
$168,279 交易量
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
$901,186 交易量
<1%
羅德里戈
$96,121 交易量
<1%
布卡約·薩卡
$148,088 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane holds a commanding lead in the Ballon d'Or 2026 market due to his prolific scoring and leadership in Bayern Munich's Bundesliga title push plus England's strong showing in the 2026 World Cup cycle. Traders have priced in his consistent output across club and international fixtures, outpacing emerging talents like Lamine Yamal, whose breakout form and playmaking for Barcelona explain the second-place probability. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi sit lower amid varying team results, age considerations, and competition from other forwards. Recent injury recoveries, tactical fits, and head-to-head comparisons in European competitions continue to shape these implied probabilities ahead of final voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
交易量
$32,515,962結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane holds a commanding lead in the Ballon d'Or 2026 market due to his prolific scoring and leadership in Bayern Munich's Bundesliga title push plus England's strong showing in the 2026 World Cup cycle. Traders have priced in his consistent output across club and international fixtures, outpacing emerging talents like Lamine Yamal, whose breakout form and playmaking for Barcelona explain the second-place probability. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi sit lower amid varying team results, age considerations, and competition from other forwards. Recent injury recoveries, tactical fits, and head-to-head comparisons in European competitions continue to shape these implied probabilities ahead of final voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$32,515,962結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETHarry Kane holds a commanding lead in the Ballon d'Or 2026 market due to his prolific scoring and leadership in Bayern Munich's Bundesliga title push plus England's strong showing in the 2026 World Cup cycle. Traders have priced in his consistent output across club and international fixtures, outpacing emerging talents like Lamine Yamal, whose breakout form and playmaking for Barcelona explain the second-place probability. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi sit lower amid varying team results, age considerations, and competition from other forwards. Recent injury recoveries, tactical fits, and head-to-head comparisons in European competitions continue to shape these implied probabilities ahead of final voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions