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Thể thao·UFC

Lucas Fernando – Rafael Tobias

2d 15h
Polymarket
Lucas Fernando
Lucas Fernando
9:00 PMAugust 15
Rafael Tobias
Rafael Tobias
$8.70K Vol.Polymarket
MỚI

Các combo

Favorite finish
Submission story
Knockout brawl

Moneyline

$7.2K KL.

Tổng điểm

$1.5K KL.

Go the Distance?

$0 KL.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$0 KL.

Fernando to win by KO/TKO?

$0 KL.

Tobias to win by KO/TKO?

$0 KL.

Fight won by submission?

$0 KL.

This market will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafael Tobias" if Rafael Tobias is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lucas Fernando defeats Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rafael Tobias defeats Lucas Fernando at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Lucas Fernando enters his UFC debut on a four-fight win streak, capped by back-to-back first-round LFA title-winning TKOs in 2025-2026 after moving up from middleweight. The 13-3 Brazilian prospect brings a 54% finish rate and strong size at 6'3" with an 80.5-inch reach. Rafael Tobias (14-2) holds more UFC experience following his unanimous decision loss to Diyar Nurgozhay in March 2026, though he secured a DWCS submission win and multiple stoppages earlier. Traders price Fernando as the clear favorite at roughly 70-75% implied probability, reflecting his finishing momentum and record against Tobias's recent setback and first-round vulnerability. Both fighters are Brazilian light heavyweights with knockout and submission threats, but Fernando's recent form and physical tools drive current market positioning ahead of the August 15 early prelim at UFC 330 in Philadelphia.

This market will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026.

It will resolve to "Rafael Tobias" if Rafael Tobias is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Khối lượng
$8,700
Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026
Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Nguồn giải quyết

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafael Tobias" if Rafael Tobias is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

The “Tobias vs. Fernando” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Rafael Tobias and the Lucas Fernando, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Fernando is currently priced at 72¢ (72% implied probability) and Tobias at 28¢ (28%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Tobias vs. Fernando” market has generated $8.7K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Tobias vs. Fernando,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows RAF11 at 28¢ and LUC8 at 72¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Tobias vs. Fernando” show Lucas Fernando at 72¢ (72% implied probability) and Rafael Tobias at 28¢ (28%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Tobias vs. Fernando” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Thể thao·UFC

Lucas Fernando – Rafael Tobias

2d 15h
Polymarket
Lucas Fernando
Lucas Fernando
9:00 PMAugust 15
Rafael Tobias
Rafael Tobias
$8.70K Vol.Polymarket
MỚI

Các combo

Favorite finish
Submission story
Knockout brawl

Moneyline

$7.2K KL.

Tổng điểm

$1.5K KL.

Go the Distance?

$0 KL.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$0 KL.

Fernando to win by KO/TKO?

$0 KL.

Tobias to win by KO/TKO?

$0 KL.

Fight won by submission?

$0 KL.

This market will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafael Tobias" if Rafael Tobias is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lucas Fernando defeats Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rafael Tobias defeats Lucas Fernando at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Lucas Fernando enters his UFC debut on a four-fight win streak, capped by back-to-back first-round LFA title-winning TKOs in 2025-2026 after moving up from middleweight. The 13-3 Brazilian prospect brings a 54% finish rate and strong size at 6'3" with an 80.5-inch reach. Rafael Tobias (14-2) holds more UFC experience following his unanimous decision loss to Diyar Nurgozhay in March 2026, though he secured a DWCS submission win and multiple stoppages earlier. Traders price Fernando as the clear favorite at roughly 70-75% implied probability, reflecting his finishing momentum and record against Tobias's recent setback and first-round vulnerability. Both fighters are Brazilian light heavyweights with knockout and submission threats, but Fernando's recent form and physical tools drive current market positioning ahead of the August 15 early prelim at UFC 330 in Philadelphia.

This market will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026.

It will resolve to "Rafael Tobias" if Rafael Tobias is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Khối lượng
$8,700
Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026
Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Nguồn giải quyết

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafael Tobias" if Rafael Tobias is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

The “Tobias vs. Fernando” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Rafael Tobias and the Lucas Fernando, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Fernando is currently priced at 72¢ (72% implied probability) and Tobias at 28¢ (28%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Tobias vs. Fernando” market has generated $8.7K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Tobias vs. Fernando,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows RAF11 at 28¢ and LUC8 at 72¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Tobias vs. Fernando” show Lucas Fernando at 72¢ (72% implied probability) and Rafael Tobias at 28¢ (28%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Tobias vs. Fernando” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.