Russian forces briefly claimed and infiltrated the small settlement of Ternuvate in Zaporizhzhia Oblast in late January 2026 before Ukrainian units cleared the area days later. The village sits roughly 10-15 km from active front-line positions near Huliaipole, where Russian troops have sustained pressure through small infantry assaults, infiltration attempts, and efforts to bypass Ukrainian defenses. As of mid-August 2026, the broader Zaporizhzhia sector remains contested with Russian commands directing incremental advances toward the regional capital, though Ukrainian forces have repelled most local probes and maintained control of the settlement. Market resolution typically tracks confirmed territorial changes on authoritative maps such as those from the Institute for the Study of War. Upcoming developments hinge on Russian force concentrations and Ukrainian defensive reinforcements or counter-moves in the immediate Huliaipole axis through the fall.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?
$512,187 KL.
August 31
9%
$512,187 KL.
August 31
9%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 12:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces briefly claimed and infiltrated the small settlement of Ternuvate in Zaporizhzhia Oblast in late January 2026 before Ukrainian units cleared the area days later. The village sits roughly 10-15 km from active front-line positions near Huliaipole, where Russian troops have sustained pressure through small infantry assaults, infiltration attempts, and efforts to bypass Ukrainian defenses. As of mid-August 2026, the broader Zaporizhzhia sector remains contested with Russian commands directing incremental advances toward the regional capital, though Ukrainian forces have repelled most local probes and maintained control of the settlement. Market resolution typically tracks confirmed territorial changes on authoritative maps such as those from the Institute for the Study of War. Upcoming developments hinge on Russian force concentrations and Ukrainian defensive reinforcements or counter-moves in the immediate Huliaipole axis through the fall.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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