US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the mid-August expiration of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding without a final agreement or extension. Core disputes persist over freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, limits on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and implementation of the Lebanon ceasefire. Both sides have accused the other of violations, with President Trump issuing sanctions threats and Iranian officials stating no decision to resume direct negotiations. Mediators from Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman continue shuttle diplomacy focused on technical channels and indirect messaging, though no new high-level round has been confirmed ahead of the August 31 deadline. Trader assessments center on whether these intermediaries can convene even a limited session involving US or Iranian representatives before month-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$96,959 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
Nick Stewart
4%
Jared Kushner
3%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
3%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
3%
Ishaq Dar
3%
Abbas Araghchi
2%
Rafael Grossi
2%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
2%
Steve Witkoff
2%
Masoud Pezeshkian
2%
J.D. Vance
2%
Pete Hegseth
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
2%
Marco Rubio
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
$96,959 KL.
Nick Stewart
$36 KL.
4%
Jared Kushner
$14,141 KL.
3%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,231 KL.
3%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,315 KL.
3%
Ishaq Dar
$2,920 KL.
3%
Abbas Araghchi
$9,289 KL.
2%
Rafael Grossi
$886 KL.
2%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$267 KL.
2%
Steve Witkoff
$13,652 KL.
2%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,772 KL.
2%
J.D. Vance
$11,252 KL.
2%
Pete Hegseth
$2,632 KL.
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,750 KL.
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,752 KL.
2%
Marco Rubio
$7,729 KL.
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,781 KL.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$695 KL.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$688 KL.
<1%
Donald Trump
$7,171 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the mid-August expiration of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding without a final agreement or extension. Core disputes persist over freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, limits on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and implementation of the Lebanon ceasefire. Both sides have accused the other of violations, with President Trump issuing sanctions threats and Iranian officials stating no decision to resume direct negotiations. Mediators from Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman continue shuttle diplomacy focused on technical channels and indirect messaging, though no new high-level round has been confirmed ahead of the August 31 deadline. Trader assessments center on whether these intermediaries can convene even a limited session involving US or Iranian representatives before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$96,959Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the mid-August expiration of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding without a final agreement or extension. Core disputes persist over freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, limits on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and implementation of the Lebanon ceasefire. Both sides have accused the other of violations, with President Trump issuing sanctions threats and Iranian officials stating no decision to resume direct negotiations. Mediators from Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman continue shuttle diplomacy focused on technical channels and indirect messaging, though no new high-level round has been confirmed ahead of the August 31 deadline. Trader assessments center on whether these intermediaries can convene even a limited session involving US or Iranian representatives before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$96,959Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the mid-August expiration of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding without a final agreement or extension. Core disputes persist over freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, limits on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and implementation of the Lebanon ceasefire. Both sides have accused the other of violations, with President Trump issuing sanctions threats and Iranian officials stating no decision to resume direct negotiations. Mediators from Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman continue shuttle diplomacy focused on technical channels and indirect messaging, though no new high-level round has been confirmed ahead of the August 31 deadline. Trader assessments center on whether these intermediaries can convene even a limited session involving US or Iranian representatives before month-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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