**Incumbent Republican Phil Scott’s strong positioning as a moderate who has repeatedly won statewide office in Democratic-leaning Vermont underpins the market’s heavy Republican tilt.** Scott secured his party’s nomination with over 98% in the August 11 primary and maintains double-digit leads in July University of New Hampshire polling against Democrat Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Scott’s historical margins and the limited name recognition and funding edge of his opponent. A modest decline in Scott’s approval rating to a multi-year low has not yet altered the race’s fundamentals, though late-cycle shifts in turnout or national conditions remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVermont Governor Election Winner
Vermont Governor Election Winner
$59,407 KL.
$59,407 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
88%
Democrat
11%
$59,407 KL.
$59,407 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$25,795 KL.
88%
Democrat
$33,612 KL.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Incumbent Republican Phil Scott’s strong positioning as a moderate who has repeatedly won statewide office in Democratic-leaning Vermont underpins the market’s heavy Republican tilt.** Scott secured his party’s nomination with over 98% in the August 11 primary and maintains double-digit leads in July University of New Hampshire polling against Democrat Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Scott’s historical margins and the limited name recognition and funding edge of his opponent. A modest decline in Scott’s approval rating to a multi-year low has not yet altered the race’s fundamentals, though late-cycle shifts in turnout or national conditions remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$59,407Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Incumbent Republican Phil Scott’s strong positioning as a moderate who has repeatedly won statewide office in Democratic-leaning Vermont underpins the market’s heavy Republican tilt.** Scott secured his party’s nomination with over 98% in the August 11 primary and maintains double-digit leads in July University of New Hampshire polling against Democrat Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Scott’s historical margins and the limited name recognition and funding edge of his opponent. A modest decline in Scott’s approval rating to a multi-year low has not yet altered the race’s fundamentals, though late-cycle shifts in turnout or national conditions remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$59,407Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Phil Scott’s strong positioning as a moderate who has repeatedly won statewide office in Democratic-leaning Vermont underpins the market’s heavy Republican tilt.** Scott secured his party’s nomination with over 98% in the August 11 primary and maintains double-digit leads in July University of New Hampshire polling against Democrat Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Scott’s historical margins and the limited name recognition and funding edge of his opponent. A modest decline in Scott’s approval rating to a multi-year low has not yet altered the race’s fundamentals, though late-cycle shifts in turnout or national conditions remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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