Strong early tracking from Hits Daily Double, pointing to a career-high 110-120k first-week equivalent album units on the Billboard 200, underpins the market’s overwhelming 98.3% implied probability on 90k+. Robust first-day Spotify streams exceeding 13 million, combined with a Metacritic score of 92 and Pitchfork’s 8.4, have cemented critical and fan momentum for the August 14 release. Sold-out arena dates, a Madison Square Garden pop-up, and limited-edition vinyl have further lifted physical projections in a relatively quiet alt-folk window. Trader consensus views these elements as likely to sustain through the Luminate tracking period. An upset into lower brackets would require a sharp post-debut streaming decline or unexpectedly weak physical sales, both considered remote given current indicators.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPhoebe Bridgers 'Lost Weekend' First Week Album Sales?
Phoebe Bridgers 'Lost Weekend' First Week Album Sales?
90k+ 98.2%
75-90k 1.1%
<30k <1%
30-45k <1%
$10,278 KL.
$10,278 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
<30k
<1%
30-45k
<1%
45-60k
<1%
60-75k
<1%
75-90k
1%
90k+
98%
90k+ 98.2%
75-90k 1.1%
<30k <1%
30-45k <1%
$10,278 KL.
$10,278 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
<30k
$551 KL.
<1%
30-45k
$555 KL.
<1%
45-60k
$506 KL.
<1%
60-75k
$547 KL.
<1%
75-90k
$1,109 KL.
1%
90k+
$7,009 KL.
98%
Phoebe Bridgers's new album 'Lost Weekend' is expected to release August 14, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Phoebe Bridgers's album 'Lost Weekend', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Lost Weekend' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Strong early tracking from Hits Daily Double, pointing to a career-high 110-120k first-week equivalent album units on the Billboard 200, underpins the market’s overwhelming 98.3% implied probability on 90k+. Robust first-day Spotify streams exceeding 13 million, combined with a Metacritic score of 92 and Pitchfork’s 8.4, have cemented critical and fan momentum for the August 14 release. Sold-out arena dates, a Madison Square Garden pop-up, and limited-edition vinyl have further lifted physical projections in a relatively quiet alt-folk window. Trader consensus views these elements as likely to sustain through the Luminate tracking period. An upset into lower brackets would require a sharp post-debut streaming decline or unexpectedly weak physical sales, both considered remote given current indicators.
Phoebe Bridgers's new album 'Lost Weekend' is expected to release August 14, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Phoebe Bridgers's album 'Lost Weekend', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Lost Weekend' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Phoebe Bridgers's album 'Lost Weekend', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Lost Weekend' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$10,278Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 2:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Phoebe Bridgers's new album 'Lost Weekend' is expected to release August 14, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Phoebe Bridgers's album 'Lost Weekend', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Lost Weekend' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Strong early tracking from Hits Daily Double, pointing to a career-high 110-120k first-week equivalent album units on the Billboard 200, underpins the market’s overwhelming 98.3% implied probability on 90k+. Robust first-day Spotify streams exceeding 13 million, combined with a Metacritic score of 92 and Pitchfork’s 8.4, have cemented critical and fan momentum for the August 14 release. Sold-out arena dates, a Madison Square Garden pop-up, and limited-edition vinyl have further lifted physical projections in a relatively quiet alt-folk window. Trader consensus views these elements as likely to sustain through the Luminate tracking period. An upset into lower brackets would require a sharp post-debut streaming decline or unexpectedly weak physical sales, both considered remote given current indicators.
Phoebe Bridgers's new album 'Lost Weekend' is expected to release August 14, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Phoebe Bridgers's album 'Lost Weekend', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Lost Weekend' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Phoebe Bridgers's album 'Lost Weekend', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Lost Weekend' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Khối lượng
$10,278Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 2:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong early tracking from Hits Daily Double, pointing to a career-high 110-120k first-week equivalent album units on the Billboard 200, underpins the market’s overwhelming 98.3% implied probability on 90k+. Robust first-day Spotify streams exceeding 13 million, combined with a Metacritic score of 92 and Pitchfork’s 8.4, have cemented critical and fan momentum for the August 14 release. Sold-out arena dates, a Madison Square Garden pop-up, and limited-edition vinyl have further lifted physical projections in a relatively quiet alt-folk window. Trader consensus views these elements as likely to sustain through the Luminate tracking period. An upset into lower brackets would require a sharp post-debut streaming decline or unexpectedly weak physical sales, both considered remote given current indicators.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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