Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a commanding position in New York's 19th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. He flipped the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin and has since leveraged strong fundraising exceeding $4.8 million along with a focus on constituent services in this upstate district spanning the Hudson Valley, Catskills, and Southern Tier. The June 23 primaries resolved the field with Riley unopposed on the Democratic side and state Senator Peter Oberacker securing the Republican nomination after a contested primary. Prediction markets price the Democratic outcome near 89 percent, consistent with Riley's incumbency advantages and the district's recent electoral trends, though the seat remains competitive based on historical margins and varying partisan ratings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-19 House Election Winner
NY-19 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
10%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,341 KL.
90%
Republican Party
$2,786 KL.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a commanding position in New York's 19th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. He flipped the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin and has since leveraged strong fundraising exceeding $4.8 million along with a focus on constituent services in this upstate district spanning the Hudson Valley, Catskills, and Southern Tier. The June 23 primaries resolved the field with Riley unopposed on the Democratic side and state Senator Peter Oberacker securing the Republican nomination after a contested primary. Prediction markets price the Democratic outcome near 89 percent, consistent with Riley's incumbency advantages and the district's recent electoral trends, though the seat remains competitive based on historical margins and varying partisan ratings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,126Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a commanding position in New York's 19th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. He flipped the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin and has since leveraged strong fundraising exceeding $4.8 million along with a focus on constituent services in this upstate district spanning the Hudson Valley, Catskills, and Southern Tier. The June 23 primaries resolved the field with Riley unopposed on the Democratic side and state Senator Peter Oberacker securing the Republican nomination after a contested primary. Prediction markets price the Democratic outcome near 89 percent, consistent with Riley's incumbency advantages and the district's recent electoral trends, though the seat remains competitive based on historical margins and varying partisan ratings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$5,126Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a commanding position in New York's 19th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. He flipped the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin and has since leveraged strong fundraising exceeding $4.8 million along with a focus on constituent services in this upstate district spanning the Hudson Valley, Catskills, and Southern Tier. The June 23 primaries resolved the field with Riley unopposed on the Democratic side and state Senator Peter Oberacker securing the Republican nomination after a contested primary. Prediction markets price the Democratic outcome near 89 percent, consistent with Riley's incumbency advantages and the district's recent electoral trends, though the seat remains competitive based on historical margins and varying partisan ratings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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