Kyle Schwarber’s league-leading 30 home runs through roughly 84 games has anchored trader focus, reflecting his sustained barrel rate and pull-side power that historically translate to 40-plus totals in full seasons. Hunter Goodman’s 27 long balls in Coors Field and Yordan Alvarez’s consistent contact quality keep multiple candidates viable, while Byron Buxton’s 25 highlight injury and playing-time risks that can shift implied probabilities. Second-half schedule strength, potential rest days, and park factors remain key variables, as does the ongoing chase amid typical regression patterns for power surges. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing balances these established paces against the inherent variability of late-season outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$16,865 KL.
Oct 11, 2026
Kyle Schwarber
90%
Yordan Alvarez
88%
Junior Caminero
75%
Hunter Goodman
71%
James Wood
70%
Shohei Ohtani
44%
Munetaka Murakami
51%
Ben Rice
50%
Matt Olson
39%
Byron Buxton
39%
Brandon Lowe
26%
Shea Langeliers
25%
Pete Alonso
18%
Juan Soto
15%
Nick Kurtz
10%
Jordan Walker
25%
Christian Walker
12%
Dillon Dingler
11%
Kazuma Okamoto
9%
Ketel Marte
7%
Bryce Harper
7%
Miguel Vargas
6%
Wilson Contreras
6%
6%
Aaron Judge
5%
Manny Machado
4%
4%
Mike Trout
2%
CJ Abrams
50%
Colson Montgomery
48%
$16,865 KL.
Kyle Schwarber
$484 KL.
90%
Yordan Alvarez
$782 KL.
88%
Junior Caminero
$70 KL.
75%
Hunter Goodman
$1,857 KL.
71%
James Wood
$764 KL.
70%
Shohei Ohtani
$484 KL.
44%
Munetaka Murakami
$0 KL.
51%
Ben Rice
$0 KL.
50%
Matt Olson
$538 KL.
39%
Byron Buxton
$1,933 KL.
39%
Brandon Lowe
$1,630 KL.
26%
Shea Langeliers
$1,137 KL.
25%
Pete Alonso
$22 KL.
18%
Juan Soto
$170 KL.
15%
Nick Kurtz
$71 KL.
10%
Jordan Walker
$247 KL.
25%
Christian Walker
$148 KL.
12%
Dillon Dingler
$3,214 KL.
11%
Kazuma Okamoto
$0 KL.
9%
Ketel Marte
$363 KL.
7%
Bryce Harper
$378 KL.
7%
Miguel Vargas
$120 KL.
6%
Wilson Contreras
$399 KL.
6%
$0 KL.
6%
Aaron Judge
$808 KL.
5%
Manny Machado
$222 KL.
4%
$0 KL.
4%
Mike Trout
$301 KL.
2%
CJ Abrams
$521 KL.
50%
Colson Montgomery
$200 KL.
48%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber’s league-leading 30 home runs through roughly 84 games has anchored trader focus, reflecting his sustained barrel rate and pull-side power that historically translate to 40-plus totals in full seasons. Hunter Goodman’s 27 long balls in Coors Field and Yordan Alvarez’s consistent contact quality keep multiple candidates viable, while Byron Buxton’s 25 highlight injury and playing-time risks that can shift implied probabilities. Second-half schedule strength, potential rest days, and park factors remain key variables, as does the ongoing chase amid typical regression patterns for power surges. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing balances these established paces against the inherent variability of late-season outcomes.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$16,865Ngày kết thúc
Oct 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.mlb.comResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber’s league-leading 30 home runs through roughly 84 games has anchored trader focus, reflecting his sustained barrel rate and pull-side power that historically translate to 40-plus totals in full seasons. Hunter Goodman’s 27 long balls in Coors Field and Yordan Alvarez’s consistent contact quality keep multiple candidates viable, while Byron Buxton’s 25 highlight injury and playing-time risks that can shift implied probabilities. Second-half schedule strength, potential rest days, and park factors remain key variables, as does the ongoing chase amid typical regression patterns for power surges. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing balances these established paces against the inherent variability of late-season outcomes.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$16,865Ngày kết thúc
Oct 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.mlb.comResolver
0x65070BE91...Kyle Schwarber’s league-leading 30 home runs through roughly 84 games has anchored trader focus, reflecting his sustained barrel rate and pull-side power that historically translate to 40-plus totals in full seasons. Hunter Goodman’s 27 long balls in Coors Field and Yordan Alvarez’s consistent contact quality keep multiple candidates viable, while Byron Buxton’s 25 highlight injury and playing-time risks that can shift implied probabilities. Second-half schedule strength, potential rest days, and park factors remain key variables, as does the ongoing chase amid typical regression patterns for power surges. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing balances these established paces against the inherent variability of late-season outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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