Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, with a Partisan Voter Index reflecting a substantial Democratic advantage and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Troy Carter, who secured reelection in 2024, faces limited opposition in the November 3 open primary from fellow Democrat Renada Collins and a Republican challenger, Peter Williams, alongside minor candidates. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's voter composition and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or fundraising. The Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais altered statewide maps and primary schedules but preserved the core Democratic tilt in this district. A Democratic nominee is expected to advance to any December runoff, with trader pricing reflecting these structural factors. Scenarios that could shift odds include a late major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, though no such developments have emerged.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLA-02 House Election Winner
LA-02 House Election Winner
$61,064 KL.
$61,064 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$61,064 KL.
$61,064 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$34,748 KL.
97%
Republican Party
$26,316 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, with a Partisan Voter Index reflecting a substantial Democratic advantage and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Troy Carter, who secured reelection in 2024, faces limited opposition in the November 3 open primary from fellow Democrat Renada Collins and a Republican challenger, Peter Williams, alongside minor candidates. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's voter composition and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or fundraising. The Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais altered statewide maps and primary schedules but preserved the core Democratic tilt in this district. A Democratic nominee is expected to advance to any December runoff, with trader pricing reflecting these structural factors. Scenarios that could shift odds include a late major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$61,064Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, with a Partisan Voter Index reflecting a substantial Democratic advantage and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Troy Carter, who secured reelection in 2024, faces limited opposition in the November 3 open primary from fellow Democrat Renada Collins and a Republican challenger, Peter Williams, alongside minor candidates. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's voter composition and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or fundraising. The Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais altered statewide maps and primary schedules but preserved the core Democratic tilt in this district. A Democratic nominee is expected to advance to any December runoff, with trader pricing reflecting these structural factors. Scenarios that could shift odds include a late major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$61,064Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, with a Partisan Voter Index reflecting a substantial Democratic advantage and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Troy Carter, who secured reelection in 2024, faces limited opposition in the November 3 open primary from fellow Democrat Renada Collins and a Republican challenger, Peter Williams, alongside minor candidates. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's voter composition and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or fundraising. The Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais altered statewide maps and primary schedules but preserved the core Democratic tilt in this district. A Democratic nominee is expected to advance to any December runoff, with trader pricing reflecting these structural factors. Scenarios that could shift odds include a late major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, though no such developments have emerged.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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