Recent strains in the U.S.-Israel relationship, including President Trump's public expressions of frustration with Prime Minister Netanyahu ahead of their July 28 White House meeting—the first since the Iran conflict began—have shaped trader assessments. The closed-door Oval Office session, described by both sides as positive yet conducted amid domestic pressures on each leader and limited public imagery, has reinforced expectations that no handshake would occur or be documented in a manner fitting the timed categories. This consensus reflects the wisdom of crowds evaluating procedural and relational factors over historical patterns of ceremonial greetings. Late diplomatic gestures, a public photo opportunity, or shifts in bilateral messaging could still alter the outcome before any final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNo Handshake 99.2%
2–6s <1%
6–10s <1%
10–15s <1%
$77,406 KL.
$77,406 KL.
Jul 31, 2026
No Handshake
99%
<2s
<1%
2–6s
1%
6–10s
1%
10–15s
1%
15s+
<1%
Photographed only
<1%
No Handshake 99.2%
2–6s <1%
6–10s <1%
10–15s <1%
$77,406 KL.
$77,406 KL.
Jul 31, 2026
No Handshake
$28,533 KL.
99%
<2s
$3,912 KL.
<1%
2–6s
$6,863 KL.
1%
6–10s
$15,087 KL.
1%
10–15s
$10,347 KL.
1%
15s+
$4,500 KL.
<1%
Photographed only
$8,163 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by July 31, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.Recent strains in the U.S.-Israel relationship, including President Trump's public expressions of frustration with Prime Minister Netanyahu ahead of their July 28 White House meeting—the first since the Iran conflict began—have shaped trader assessments. The closed-door Oval Office session, described by both sides as positive yet conducted amid domestic pressures on each leader and limited public imagery, has reinforced expectations that no handshake would occur or be documented in a manner fitting the timed categories. This consensus reflects the wisdom of crowds evaluating procedural and relational factors over historical patterns of ceremonial greetings. Late diplomatic gestures, a public photo opportunity, or shifts in bilateral messaging could still alter the outcome before any final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by July 31, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.
Thị trường mở: Jul 24, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Khối lượng
$77,406Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by July 31, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.Recent strains in the U.S.-Israel relationship, including President Trump's public expressions of frustration with Prime Minister Netanyahu ahead of their July 28 White House meeting—the first since the Iran conflict began—have shaped trader assessments. The closed-door Oval Office session, described by both sides as positive yet conducted amid domestic pressures on each leader and limited public imagery, has reinforced expectations that no handshake would occur or be documented in a manner fitting the timed categories. This consensus reflects the wisdom of crowds evaluating procedural and relational factors over historical patterns of ceremonial greetings. Late diplomatic gestures, a public photo opportunity, or shifts in bilateral messaging could still alter the outcome before any final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by July 31, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.
Khối lượng
$77,406Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent strains in the U.S.-Israel relationship, including President Trump's public expressions of frustration with Prime Minister Netanyahu ahead of their July 28 White House meeting—the first since the Iran conflict began—have shaped trader assessments. The closed-door Oval Office session, described by both sides as positive yet conducted amid domestic pressures on each leader and limited public imagery, has reinforced expectations that no handshake would occur or be documented in a manner fitting the timed categories. This consensus reflects the wisdom of crowds evaluating procedural and relational factors over historical patterns of ceremonial greetings. Late diplomatic gestures, a public photo opportunity, or shifts in bilateral messaging could still alter the outcome before any final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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