Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHarry Kane 40.6%
Lamine Yamal 26.9%
Rodri 12%
Kylian Mbappé 10.4%
$18,618,726 KL.
$18,618,726 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
41%
Lamine Yamal
27%
Rodri
12%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Lionel Messi
5%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
R
2%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1%
Q
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
T
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
S
<1%
U
<1%
Harry Kane 40.6%
Lamine Yamal 26.9%
Rodri 12%
Kylian Mbappé 10.4%
$18,618,726 KL.
$18,618,726 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
$2,000,358 KL.
41%
Lamine Yamal
$1,165,099 KL.
27%
Rodri
$425,044 KL.
12%
Kylian Mbappé
$950,924 KL.
10%
Lionel Messi
$1,213,219 KL.
5%
Ousmane Dembélé
$1,166,895 KL.
2%
R
$334,876 KL.
2%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$523,338 KL.
1%
Q
$333,959 KL.
1%
Erling Haaland
$844,026 KL.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$739,835 KL.
<1%
Michael Olise
$578,059 KL.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$855,473 KL.
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
$945,303 KL.
<1%
Pedri
$693,411 KL.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$513,897 KL.
<1%
Declan Rice
$488,773 KL.
<1%
Vitinha
$379,289 KL.
<1%
Julian Alvarez
$565,852 KL.
<1%
Raphinha
$553,799 KL.
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
$562,993 KL.
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
$381,212 KL.
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$347,548 KL.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$306,337 KL.
<1%
Desire Doue
$489,608 KL.
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
$488,629 KL.
<1%
Luis Diaz
$332,041 KL.
<1%
T
$56,000 KL.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$162,315 KL.
<1%
S
$83,050 KL.
<1%
U
$137,660 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$18,618,726Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Khối lượng
$18,618,726Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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