Harry Kane holds a commanding lead in the Ballon d'Or 2026 market due to his prolific scoring and leadership in Bayern Munich's Bundesliga title push plus England's strong showing in the 2026 World Cup cycle. Traders have priced in his consistent output across club and international fixtures, outpacing emerging talents like Lamine Yamal, whose breakout form and playmaking for Barcelona explain the second-place probability. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi sit lower amid varying team results, age considerations, and competition from other forwards. Recent injury recoveries, tactical fits, and head-to-head comparisons in European competitions continue to shape these implied probabilities ahead of final voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHarry Kane 66.5%
Lamine Yamal 14.0%
Kylian Mbappé 7.4%
Rodri 6%
$32,515,962 KL.
$32,515,962 KL.
Harry Kane
67%
Lamine Yamal
14%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Rodri
6%
Lionel Messi
2%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 66.5%
Lamine Yamal 14.0%
Kylian Mbappé 7.4%
Rodri 6%
$32,515,962 KL.
$32,515,962 KL.
Harry Kane
67%
Lamine Yamal
14%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Rodri
6%
Lionel Messi
2%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane holds a commanding lead in the Ballon d'Or 2026 market due to his prolific scoring and leadership in Bayern Munich's Bundesliga title push plus England's strong showing in the 2026 World Cup cycle. Traders have priced in his consistent output across club and international fixtures, outpacing emerging talents like Lamine Yamal, whose breakout form and playmaking for Barcelona explain the second-place probability. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi sit lower amid varying team results, age considerations, and competition from other forwards. Recent injury recoveries, tactical fits, and head-to-head comparisons in European competitions continue to shape these implied probabilities ahead of final voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp