**Counter-Strike 2's established audience and recent record-breaking Majors have driven the strong trader consensus favoring sustained higher viewership over VALORANT in 2026 flagship events.** The IEM Cologne Major 2026 delivered an all-time CS peak of 2.75 million concurrent viewers and over 100 million hours watched, far outpacing VALORANT's VCT Masters London peak of roughly 1.07 million during overlapping windows. Earlier 2026 S-tier data showed CS2 leading in hours watched (205 million vs. 130 million), peak, and average viewers despite fewer broadcast hours. VALORANT's regional leagues posted year-over-year declines in Stage 1, with softer averages in EMEA and Americas, while CS2 benefits from concentrated engagement in key languages and platforms. These patterns, combined with VALORANT's historical ceiling below recent CS2 benchmarks, underpin the 85% implied probability that a 2026 Major will not see VALORANT viewership surpass CS2.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill VALORANT Viewership Surpass CS2 Viewership at a Major in 2026?
Will VALORANT Viewership Surpass CS2 Viewership at a Major in 2026?
14% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
14% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
This market will resolve "Yes" if the Peak Viewership of any qualifying 2026 VALORANT international event exceeds the Peak Viewership of the highest-peaking qualifying 2026 CS2 Major, as measured by Esports Charts. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
"Qualifying VALORANT event" refers to: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026, Valorant Masters London 2026, Valorant EWC 2026, or Valorant Champions 2026 (Shanghai).
"Qualifying CS2 Major" means either of the two 2026 Valve-sponsored Majors: IEM Cologne Major 2026 or PGL Major Singapore 2026.
"Peak Viewership" means the peak concurrent viewer count for the event's main broadcast as reported by Esports Charts (https://escharts.com), excluding Chinese platform viewership, consistent with Esports Charts' standard methodology.
This market resolves "Yes" if at least one qualifying VALORANT event's peak viewership figure is greater than the larger of the two CS2 Majors' peak viewership figures. The comparison uses each event's single highest peak-viewer figure across the full event.
If a qualifying event is cancelled or not held, it is simply excluded from the comparison. If no qualifying CS2 Major or no qualifying VALORANT event takes place in 2026, or if Esports Charts does not publish peak viewership figures for the relevant events by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Esports Charts (https://escharts.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used where Esports Charts figures are unavailable or disputed.**Counter-Strike 2's established audience and recent record-breaking Majors have driven the strong trader consensus favoring sustained higher viewership over VALORANT in 2026 flagship events.** The IEM Cologne Major 2026 delivered an all-time CS peak of 2.75 million concurrent viewers and over 100 million hours watched, far outpacing VALORANT's VCT Masters London peak of roughly 1.07 million during overlapping windows. Earlier 2026 S-tier data showed CS2 leading in hours watched (205 million vs. 130 million), peak, and average viewers despite fewer broadcast hours. VALORANT's regional leagues posted year-over-year declines in Stage 1, with softer averages in EMEA and Americas, while CS2 benefits from concentrated engagement in key languages and platforms. These patterns, combined with VALORANT's historical ceiling below recent CS2 benchmarks, underpin the 85% implied probability that a 2026 Major will not see VALORANT viewership surpass CS2.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the Peak Viewership of any qualifying 2026 VALORANT international event exceeds the Peak Viewership of the highest-peaking qualifying 2026 CS2 Major, as measured by Esports Charts. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
"Qualifying VALORANT event" refers to: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026, Valorant Masters London 2026, Valorant EWC 2026, or Valorant Champions 2026 (Shanghai).
"Qualifying CS2 Major" means either of the two 2026 Valve-sponsored Majors: IEM Cologne Major 2026 or PGL Major Singapore 2026.
"Peak Viewership" means the peak concurrent viewer count for the event's main broadcast as reported by Esports Charts (https://escharts.com), excluding Chinese platform viewership, consistent with Esports Charts' standard methodology.
This market resolves "Yes" if at least one qualifying VALORANT event's peak viewership figure is greater than the larger of the two CS2 Majors' peak viewership figures. The comparison uses each event's single highest peak-viewer figure across the full event.
If a qualifying event is cancelled or not held, it is simply excluded from the comparison. If no qualifying CS2 Major or no qualifying VALORANT event takes place in 2026, or if Esports Charts does not publish peak viewership figures for the relevant events by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Esports Charts (https://escharts.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used where Esports Charts figures are unavailable or disputed.
"Qualifying VALORANT event" refers to: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026, Valorant Masters London 2026, Valorant EWC 2026, or Valorant Champions 2026 (Shanghai).
"Qualifying CS2 Major" means either of the two 2026 Valve-sponsored Majors: IEM Cologne Major 2026 or PGL Major Singapore 2026.
"Peak Viewership" means the peak concurrent viewer count for the event's main broadcast as reported by Esports Charts (https://escharts.com), excluding Chinese platform viewership, consistent with Esports Charts' standard methodology.
This market resolves "Yes" if at least one qualifying VALORANT event's peak viewership figure is greater than the larger of the two CS2 Majors' peak viewership figures. The comparison uses each event's single highest peak-viewer figure across the full event.
If a qualifying event is cancelled or not held, it is simply excluded from the comparison. If no qualifying CS2 Major or no qualifying VALORANT event takes place in 2026, or if Esports Charts does not publish peak viewership figures for the relevant events by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Esports Charts (https://escharts.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used where Esports Charts figures are unavailable or disputed.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Обсяг
$429Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 12:58 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the Peak Viewership of any qualifying 2026 VALORANT international event exceeds the Peak Viewership of the highest-peaking qualifying 2026 CS2 Major, as measured by Esports Charts. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
"Qualifying VALORANT event" refers to: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026, Valorant Masters London 2026, Valorant EWC 2026, or Valorant Champions 2026 (Shanghai).
"Qualifying CS2 Major" means either of the two 2026 Valve-sponsored Majors: IEM Cologne Major 2026 or PGL Major Singapore 2026.
"Peak Viewership" means the peak concurrent viewer count for the event's main broadcast as reported by Esports Charts (https://escharts.com), excluding Chinese platform viewership, consistent with Esports Charts' standard methodology.
This market resolves "Yes" if at least one qualifying VALORANT event's peak viewership figure is greater than the larger of the two CS2 Majors' peak viewership figures. The comparison uses each event's single highest peak-viewer figure across the full event.
If a qualifying event is cancelled or not held, it is simply excluded from the comparison. If no qualifying CS2 Major or no qualifying VALORANT event takes place in 2026, or if Esports Charts does not publish peak viewership figures for the relevant events by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Esports Charts (https://escharts.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used where Esports Charts figures are unavailable or disputed.**Counter-Strike 2's established audience and recent record-breaking Majors have driven the strong trader consensus favoring sustained higher viewership over VALORANT in 2026 flagship events.** The IEM Cologne Major 2026 delivered an all-time CS peak of 2.75 million concurrent viewers and over 100 million hours watched, far outpacing VALORANT's VCT Masters London peak of roughly 1.07 million during overlapping windows. Earlier 2026 S-tier data showed CS2 leading in hours watched (205 million vs. 130 million), peak, and average viewers despite fewer broadcast hours. VALORANT's regional leagues posted year-over-year declines in Stage 1, with softer averages in EMEA and Americas, while CS2 benefits from concentrated engagement in key languages and platforms. These patterns, combined with VALORANT's historical ceiling below recent CS2 benchmarks, underpin the 85% implied probability that a 2026 Major will not see VALORANT viewership surpass CS2.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the Peak Viewership of any qualifying 2026 VALORANT international event exceeds the Peak Viewership of the highest-peaking qualifying 2026 CS2 Major, as measured by Esports Charts. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
"Qualifying VALORANT event" refers to: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026, Valorant Masters London 2026, Valorant EWC 2026, or Valorant Champions 2026 (Shanghai).
"Qualifying CS2 Major" means either of the two 2026 Valve-sponsored Majors: IEM Cologne Major 2026 or PGL Major Singapore 2026.
"Peak Viewership" means the peak concurrent viewer count for the event's main broadcast as reported by Esports Charts (https://escharts.com), excluding Chinese platform viewership, consistent with Esports Charts' standard methodology.
This market resolves "Yes" if at least one qualifying VALORANT event's peak viewership figure is greater than the larger of the two CS2 Majors' peak viewership figures. The comparison uses each event's single highest peak-viewer figure across the full event.
If a qualifying event is cancelled or not held, it is simply excluded from the comparison. If no qualifying CS2 Major or no qualifying VALORANT event takes place in 2026, or if Esports Charts does not publish peak viewership figures for the relevant events by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Esports Charts (https://escharts.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used where Esports Charts figures are unavailable or disputed.
"Qualifying VALORANT event" refers to: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026, Valorant Masters London 2026, Valorant EWC 2026, or Valorant Champions 2026 (Shanghai).
"Qualifying CS2 Major" means either of the two 2026 Valve-sponsored Majors: IEM Cologne Major 2026 or PGL Major Singapore 2026.
"Peak Viewership" means the peak concurrent viewer count for the event's main broadcast as reported by Esports Charts (https://escharts.com), excluding Chinese platform viewership, consistent with Esports Charts' standard methodology.
This market resolves "Yes" if at least one qualifying VALORANT event's peak viewership figure is greater than the larger of the two CS2 Majors' peak viewership figures. The comparison uses each event's single highest peak-viewer figure across the full event.
If a qualifying event is cancelled or not held, it is simply excluded from the comparison. If no qualifying CS2 Major or no qualifying VALORANT event takes place in 2026, or if Esports Charts does not publish peak viewership figures for the relevant events by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Esports Charts (https://escharts.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used where Esports Charts figures are unavailable or disputed.
Обсяг
$429Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 12:58 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**Counter-Strike 2's established audience and recent record-breaking Majors have driven the strong trader consensus favoring sustained higher viewership over VALORANT in 2026 flagship events.** The IEM Cologne Major 2026 delivered an all-time CS peak of 2.75 million concurrent viewers and over 100 million hours watched, far outpacing VALORANT's VCT Masters London peak of roughly 1.07 million during overlapping windows. Earlier 2026 S-tier data showed CS2 leading in hours watched (205 million vs. 130 million), peak, and average viewers despite fewer broadcast hours. VALORANT's regional leagues posted year-over-year declines in Stage 1, with softer averages in EMEA and Americas, while CS2 benefits from concentrated engagement in key languages and platforms. These patterns, combined with VALORANT's historical ceiling below recent CS2 benchmarks, underpin the 85% implied probability that a 2026 Major will not see VALORANT viewership surpass CS2.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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