Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, followed by active banker outreach for investor meetings targeting a possible October debut, has driven the strong 84.5% market-implied odds it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s higher private valuation near $965 billion and stronger annualized revenue position it for faster execution under favorable conditions. In contrast, OpenAI’s own June filing has been overshadowed by June reports indicating management is now weighing a 2027 timeline to address internal priorities better suited to private status. Key near-term catalysts include SEC review progress, market volatility, and any revised statements from either firm’s leadership on exact launch windows.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAnthropic
85% шанс
$276,804 Обс.
$276,804 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
85% шанс
$276,804 Обс.
$276,804 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, followed by active banker outreach for investor meetings targeting a possible October debut, has driven the strong 84.5% market-implied odds it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s higher private valuation near $965 billion and stronger annualized revenue position it for faster execution under favorable conditions. In contrast, OpenAI’s own June filing has been overshadowed by June reports indicating management is now weighing a 2027 timeline to address internal priorities better suited to private status. Key near-term catalysts include SEC review progress, market volatility, and any revised statements from either firm’s leadership on exact launch windows.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Обсяг
$276,804Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, followed by active banker outreach for investor meetings targeting a possible October debut, has driven the strong 84.5% market-implied odds it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s higher private valuation near $965 billion and stronger annualized revenue position it for faster execution under favorable conditions. In contrast, OpenAI’s own June filing has been overshadowed by June reports indicating management is now weighing a 2027 timeline to address internal priorities better suited to private status. Key near-term catalysts include SEC review progress, market volatility, and any revised statements from either firm’s leadership on exact launch windows.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$276,804Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, followed by active banker outreach for investor meetings targeting a possible October debut, has driven the strong 84.5% market-implied odds it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s higher private valuation near $965 billion and stronger annualized revenue position it for faster execution under favorable conditions. In contrast, OpenAI’s own June filing has been overshadowed by June reports indicating management is now weighing a 2027 timeline to address internal priorities better suited to private status. Key near-term catalysts include SEC review progress, market volatility, and any revised statements from either firm’s leadership on exact launch windows.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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