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Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

icon for Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Rafael Grossi 59%

Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%

Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

Michelle Bachelet 3.5%

Polymarket

$80,086 Обс.

Rafael Grossi 59%

Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%

Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

Michelle Bachelet 3.5%

Polymarket

$80,086 Обс.

Rafael Grossi

$22,300 Обс.

59%

Rebeca Grynspan

$4,573 Обс.

45%

Jacinda Ardern

$1,875 Обс.

3%

Michelle Bachelet

$26,540 Обс.

3%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

$3,039 Обс.

2%

Kristalina Georgieva

$1,912 Обс.

1%

Bruno Donat

$2,417 Обс.

1%

Amina Mohammed

$3,899 Обс.

1%

Mia Mottley

$2,035 Обс.

<1%

Alicia Bárcena

$2,096 Обс.

<1%

Colombe Cahen-Salvador

$2,679 Обс.

24%

David Choquehuanca

$2,099 Обс.

<1%

Vuk Jeremić

$2,071 Обс.

<1%

Achim Steiner

$2,551 Обс.

29%

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads the market at 45% as the early frontrunner following her top showing in the Security Council’s first straw poll in late July 2026, where she secured the most “encourage” votes among formally nominated candidates. As UNCTAD head and a Costa Rican economist with broad diplomatic experience, she benefits from perceptions of continuity with the current Secretary-General and strong regional backing in the Latin American and Caribbean Group. Rafael Grossi trails at roughly 30% thanks to his established IAEA leadership and early nomination, while Achim Steiner and Colombe Cahen-Salvador draw comparable support amid ongoing speculation about additional contenders. The process remains fluid ahead of further straw polls and fall 2026 consultations, with veto power in the Security Council and geographic/gender considerations continuing to shape the field.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$80,086
Дата завершення
Feb 28, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads the market at 45% as the early frontrunner following her top showing in the Security Council’s first straw poll in late July 2026, where she secured the most “encourage” votes among formally nominated candidates. As UNCTAD head and a Costa Rican economist with broad diplomatic experience, she benefits from perceptions of continuity with the current Secretary-General and strong regional backing in the Latin American and Caribbean Group. Rafael Grossi trails at roughly 30% thanks to his established IAEA leadership and early nomination, while Achim Steiner and Colombe Cahen-Salvador draw comparable support amid ongoing speculation about additional contenders. The process remains fluid ahead of further straw polls and fall 2026 consultations, with veto power in the Security Council and geographic/gender considerations continuing to shape the field.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$80,086
Дата завершення
Feb 28, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часті запитання

«Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 14 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Rebeca Grynspan» з 45%, далі «Rafael Grossi» з 30%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?» згенерував $80.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 11, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?», перегляньте 14 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?» — «Rebeca Grynspan» з 45%. Наступний — «Rafael Grossi» з 30%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.