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Which continent will win the World Cup?

icon for Which continent will win the World Cup?

Which continent will win the World Cup?

Європа 73%

Південна Америка 20%

Північна Америка 3.5%

Африка 3.5%

Polymarket

$4,065,851 Обс.

Європа 73%

Південна Америка 20%

Північна Америка 3.5%

Африка 3.5%

Polymarket

$4,065,851 Обс.

Європа

$407,981 Обс.

73%

Південна Америка

$376,669 Обс.

20%

Північна Америка

$612,036 Обс.

3%

Африка

$1,391,415 Обс.

3%

Азія

$667,669 Обс.

2%

Океанія

$610,497 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Europe's UEFA confederation commands the highest implied probability at 72.5% because multiple elite squads—led by Spain and France, who top recent power rankings and betting markets—combine deep talent pools, recent major-tournament success such as Euro 2024, and favorable early 2026 form. South America's CONMEBOL sits at 19.5% driven mainly by defending champions Argentina and a resurgent Brazil, though the region fields far fewer teams overall. North America, Africa, Asia, and Oceania trail at single-digit levels, reflecting shallower competitive depth and limited recent results against top UEFA or CONMEBOL sides. Early group-stage results and injury updates around stars like Lamine Yamal or Kylian Mbappé could still shift these trader-consensus probabilities before knockout rounds intensify.

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.

For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$4,065,851
Ринок відкрито
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Europe's UEFA confederation commands the highest implied probability at 72.5% because multiple elite squads—led by Spain and France, who top recent power rankings and betting markets—combine deep talent pools, recent major-tournament success such as Euro 2024, and favorable early 2026 form. South America's CONMEBOL sits at 19.5% driven mainly by defending champions Argentina and a resurgent Brazil, though the region fields far fewer teams overall. North America, Africa, Asia, and Oceania trail at single-digit levels, reflecting shallower competitive depth and limited recent results against top UEFA or CONMEBOL sides. Early group-stage results and injury updates around stars like Lamine Yamal or Kylian Mbappé could still shift these trader-consensus probabilities before knockout rounds intensify.

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.

For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$4,065,851
Ринок відкрито
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Which continent will win the World Cup?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Європа» з 73%, далі «Південна Америка» з 20%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Which continent will win the World Cup?» згенерував $4.1 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 8, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Which continent will win the World Cup?», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Which continent will win the World Cup?» — «Європа» з 73%. Наступний — «Південна Америка» з 20%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Which continent will win the World Cup?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.