Europe's UEFA confederation commands the highest implied probability at 72.5% because multiple elite squads—led by Spain and France, who top recent power rankings and betting markets—combine deep talent pools, recent major-tournament success such as Euro 2024, and favorable early 2026 form. South America's CONMEBOL sits at 19.5% driven mainly by defending champions Argentina and a resurgent Brazil, though the region fields far fewer teams overall. North America, Africa, Asia, and Oceania trail at single-digit levels, reflecting shallower competitive depth and limited recent results against top UEFA or CONMEBOL sides. Early group-stage results and injury updates around stars like Lamine Yamal or Kylian Mbappé could still shift these trader-consensus probabilities before knockout rounds intensify.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich continent will win the World Cup?
Європа 73%
Південна Америка 20%
Північна Америка 3.5%
Африка 3.5%
$4,065,851 Обс.
$4,065,851 Обс.
Європа
73%
Південна Америка
20%
Північна Америка
3%
Африка
3%
Азія
2%
Океанія
<1%
Європа 73%
Південна Америка 20%
Північна Америка 3.5%
Африка 3.5%
$4,065,851 Обс.
$4,065,851 Обс.
Європа
73%
Південна Америка
20%
Північна Америка
3%
Африка
3%
Азія
2%
Океанія
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe's UEFA confederation commands the highest implied probability at 72.5% because multiple elite squads—led by Spain and France, who top recent power rankings and betting markets—combine deep talent pools, recent major-tournament success such as Euro 2024, and favorable early 2026 form. South America's CONMEBOL sits at 19.5% driven mainly by defending champions Argentina and a resurgent Brazil, though the region fields far fewer teams overall. North America, Africa, Asia, and Oceania trail at single-digit levels, reflecting shallower competitive depth and limited recent results against top UEFA or CONMEBOL sides. Early group-stage results and injury updates around stars like Lamine Yamal or Kylian Mbappé could still shift these trader-consensus probabilities before knockout rounds intensify.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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