Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" has anchored the 2026 Billboard Hot 100, logging 18 weeks at No. 1 through mid-August and establishing the country crossover as the year's clearest frontrunner. Taylor Swift's soundtrack single "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 sits at No. 2, while Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Drake, and Mariah Carey have also reached the summit. Market-implied odds reflect how streaming volume, radio airplay, and seasonal timing shape outcomes in a chart driven by the Hot 100's sales-plus-streams formula. Fall album cycles, holiday releases, and late-year soundtrack or viral pushes remain key swing factors that could open the door for additional artists before December 31.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
$164,512 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
Mariah Carey
75%
Peso Pluma
51%
Morgan Wallen
31%
Kendrick Lamar
33%
Post Malone
30%
Playboi Carti
24%
Sabrina Carpenter
32%
Doja Cat
15%
Billie Eilish
20%
Zach Bryan
14%
The Weeknd
27%
Travis Scott
13%
Rihanna
11%
Frank Ocean
10%
Luke Combs
9%
SZA
8%
Lil Baby
6%
Tyler, The Creator
12%
A$AP Rocky
5%
Jack Harlow
10%
Future
5%
Ed Sheeran
3%
Kanye West
3%
$164,512 Обс.
Mariah Carey
$2,919 Обс.
75%
Peso Pluma
$0 Обс.
51%
Morgan Wallen
$352 Обс.
31%
Kendrick Lamar
$4,612 Обс.
33%
Post Malone
$357 Обс.
30%
Playboi Carti
$7,885 Обс.
24%
Sabrina Carpenter
$492 Обс.
32%
Doja Cat
$11,084 Обс.
15%
Billie Eilish
$40,125 Обс.
20%
Zach Bryan
$1,011 Обс.
14%
The Weeknd
$5,224 Обс.
27%
Travis Scott
$5,427 Обс.
13%
Rihanna
$1,012 Обс.
11%
Frank Ocean
$9,061 Обс.
10%
Luke Combs
$2,854 Обс.
9%
SZA
$570 Обс.
8%
Lil Baby
$724 Обс.
6%
Tyler, The Creator
$589 Обс.
12%
A$AP Rocky
$2,067 Обс.
5%
Jack Harlow
$9,009 Обс.
10%
Future
$6,996 Обс.
5%
Ed Sheeran
$674 Обс.
3%
Kanye West
$866 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" has anchored the 2026 Billboard Hot 100, logging 18 weeks at No. 1 through mid-August and establishing the country crossover as the year's clearest frontrunner. Taylor Swift's soundtrack single "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 sits at No. 2, while Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Drake, and Mariah Carey have also reached the summit. Market-implied odds reflect how streaming volume, radio airplay, and seasonal timing shape outcomes in a chart driven by the Hot 100's sales-plus-streams formula. Fall album cycles, holiday releases, and late-year soundtrack or viral pushes remain key swing factors that could open the door for additional artists before December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$164,512Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" has anchored the 2026 Billboard Hot 100, logging 18 weeks at No. 1 through mid-August and establishing the country crossover as the year's clearest frontrunner. Taylor Swift's soundtrack single "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 sits at No. 2, while Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Drake, and Mariah Carey have also reached the summit. Market-implied odds reflect how streaming volume, radio airplay, and seasonal timing shape outcomes in a chart driven by the Hot 100's sales-plus-streams formula. Fall album cycles, holiday releases, and late-year soundtrack or viral pushes remain key swing factors that could open the door for additional artists before December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Обсяг
$164,512Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" has anchored the 2026 Billboard Hot 100, logging 18 weeks at No. 1 through mid-August and establishing the country crossover as the year's clearest frontrunner. Taylor Swift's soundtrack single "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 sits at No. 2, while Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Drake, and Mariah Carey have also reached the summit. Market-implied odds reflect how streaming volume, radio airplay, and seasonal timing shape outcomes in a chart driven by the Hot 100's sales-plus-streams formula. Fall album cycles, holiday releases, and late-year soundtrack or viral pushes remain key swing factors that could open the door for additional artists before December 31.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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