The large field of over 400 titled players in Chess.com's weekly 11-round Swiss blitz event creates inherent volatility, with outcomes driven by form, pairing luck, and individual matchups rather than any single favorite dominating. Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura lead trader consensus due to their historical edge in Titled Tuesday—Nakamura with the most career wins and Carlsen close behind—yet recent events show frequent breakthroughs by players like Alireza Firouzja, Maxime Vachier-Lagrave, Parham Maghsoodloo, and Arjun Erigaisi. This spreads implied probabilities across dozens of grandmasters with strong ratings and recent results, keeping the race tight as no participant exceeds low double-digit chances in the current pricing. Schedule factors such as rest, time zone, and motivation further dilute any edge for the top seeds in this high-variance format.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMagnus Carlsen 20%
Hikaru Nakamura 12%
Javokhir Sindarov 10%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 10%
Magnus Carlsen
12%
Hikaru Nakamura
12%
Javokhir Sindarov
10%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
10%
Awonder Liang
10%
Ding Liren
6%
Wei Yi
6%
Denis Lazavik
6%
Aravindh Chithambaram
6%
Alexander Grischuk
6%
Benjamin Bok
6%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
6%
Andrey Esipenko
6%
Le Tuan Minh
6%
Nikolas Theodorou
6%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
6%
Parham Maghsoodloo
6%
Vladislav Artemiev
6%
Gukesh Dommaraju
6%
Vladimir Fedoseev
6%
Christopher Yoo
6%
Andrew Tang
6%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Sam Sevian
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Vincent Keymer
4%
Arjun Erigaisi
4%
Sina Movahed
4%
Aleksandr Shimanov
4%
Bardiya Daneshvar
4%
Dmitry Andreikin
4%
David Anton
4%
Dau Khuong Duy
4%
Dincer Tasdogen
4%
Haik Martirosyan
4%
Hans Niemann
4%
Pranesh Munirethinam
4%
Renato Terry Lujan
4%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
4%
Volen Dyulgerov
4%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
4%
Brandon Jacobson
4%
Tuomas Turunen
4%
Aleksandar Indjic
4%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
4%
Haowen Xue
4%
Jules Moussard
4%
Pranav Venkatesh
4%
Rudik Makarian
4%
Sergey Sklokin
4%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
4%
Wesley So
4%
Aleksei Sarana
4%
Fabiano Caruana
4%
Levon Aronian
4%
Magnus Carlsen 20%
Hikaru Nakamura 12%
Javokhir Sindarov 10%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 10%
Magnus Carlsen
12%
Hikaru Nakamura
12%
Javokhir Sindarov
10%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
10%
Awonder Liang
10%
Ding Liren
6%
Wei Yi
6%
Denis Lazavik
6%
Aravindh Chithambaram
6%
Alexander Grischuk
6%
Benjamin Bok
6%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
6%
Andrey Esipenko
6%
Le Tuan Minh
6%
Nikolas Theodorou
6%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
6%
Parham Maghsoodloo
6%
Vladislav Artemiev
6%
Gukesh Dommaraju
6%
Vladimir Fedoseev
6%
Christopher Yoo
6%
Andrew Tang
6%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Sam Sevian
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Vincent Keymer
4%
Arjun Erigaisi
4%
Sina Movahed
4%
Aleksandr Shimanov
4%
Bardiya Daneshvar
4%
Dmitry Andreikin
4%
David Anton
4%
Dau Khuong Duy
4%
Dincer Tasdogen
4%
Haik Martirosyan
4%
Hans Niemann
4%
Pranesh Munirethinam
4%
Renato Terry Lujan
4%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
4%
Volen Dyulgerov
4%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
4%
Brandon Jacobson
4%
Tuomas Turunen
4%
Aleksandar Indjic
4%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
4%
Haowen Xue
4%
Jules Moussard
4%
Pranav Venkatesh
4%
Rudik Makarian
4%
Sergey Sklokin
4%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
4%
Wesley So
4%
Aleksei Sarana
4%
Fabiano Caruana
4%
Levon Aronian
4%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 11:13 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The large field of over 400 titled players in Chess.com's weekly 11-round Swiss blitz event creates inherent volatility, with outcomes driven by form, pairing luck, and individual matchups rather than any single favorite dominating. Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura lead trader consensus due to their historical edge in Titled Tuesday—Nakamura with the most career wins and Carlsen close behind—yet recent events show frequent breakthroughs by players like Alireza Firouzja, Maxime Vachier-Lagrave, Parham Maghsoodloo, and Arjun Erigaisi. This spreads implied probabilities across dozens of grandmasters with strong ratings and recent results, keeping the race tight as no participant exceeds low double-digit chances in the current pricing. Schedule factors such as rest, time zone, and motivation further dilute any edge for the top seeds in this high-variance format.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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