The first informal Security Council straw poll in late July 2026 positioned Rebeca Grynspan as the early frontrunner, reflecting broad member-state support for the Costa Rican UNCTAD Secretary-General and former vice president amid the ongoing selection process for the successor to António Guterres. Rafael Grossi, the Argentine IAEA Director General nominated in late 2025, trails in both the poll and market pricing due to comparatively narrower backing within the Security Council despite his multilateral experience. Other nominees, including Macky Sall and Michelle Bachelet, register limited encouragement in the straw poll, consistent with weaker institutional endorsements and regional dynamics within the Latin American and Caribbean Group. The process, governed by General Assembly resolutions emphasizing transparency, continues with further informal consultations ahead of a formal Security Council recommendation and General Assembly vote expected later in 2026. Trader consensus on these probabilities tracks the relative momentum from the July poll and nomination patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rebeca Grynspan 51%
Rafael Grossi 28%
Macky Sall 4.5%
Michelle Bachelet 2.4%
$166,619 Обс.
$166,619 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
Rebeca Grynspan
51%
Rafael Grossi
28%
Macky Sall
5%
Michelle Bachelet
2%
Rebeca Grynspan 51%
Rafael Grossi 28%
Macky Sall 4.5%
Michelle Bachelet 2.4%
$166,619 Обс.
$166,619 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
Rebeca Grynspan
$12,471 Обс.
51%
Rafael Grossi
$23,692 Обс.
28%
Macky Sall
$119,536 Обс.
5%
Michelle Bachelet
$10,919 Обс.
2%
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The first informal Security Council straw poll in late July 2026 positioned Rebeca Grynspan as the early frontrunner, reflecting broad member-state support for the Costa Rican UNCTAD Secretary-General and former vice president amid the ongoing selection process for the successor to António Guterres. Rafael Grossi, the Argentine IAEA Director General nominated in late 2025, trails in both the poll and market pricing due to comparatively narrower backing within the Security Council despite his multilateral experience. Other nominees, including Macky Sall and Michelle Bachelet, register limited encouragement in the straw poll, consistent with weaker institutional endorsements and regional dynamics within the Latin American and Caribbean Group. The process, governed by General Assembly resolutions emphasizing transparency, continues with further informal consultations ahead of a formal Security Council recommendation and General Assembly vote expected later in 2026. Trader consensus on these probabilities tracks the relative momentum from the July poll and nomination patterns.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Обсяг
$166,619Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The first informal Security Council straw poll in late July 2026 positioned Rebeca Grynspan as the early frontrunner, reflecting broad member-state support for the Costa Rican UNCTAD Secretary-General and former vice president amid the ongoing selection process for the successor to António Guterres. Rafael Grossi, the Argentine IAEA Director General nominated in late 2025, trails in both the poll and market pricing due to comparatively narrower backing within the Security Council despite his multilateral experience. Other nominees, including Macky Sall and Michelle Bachelet, register limited encouragement in the straw poll, consistent with weaker institutional endorsements and regional dynamics within the Latin American and Caribbean Group. The process, governed by General Assembly resolutions emphasizing transparency, continues with further informal consultations ahead of a formal Security Council recommendation and General Assembly vote expected later in 2026. Trader consensus on these probabilities tracks the relative momentum from the July poll and nomination patterns.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$166,619Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first informal Security Council straw poll in late July 2026 positioned Rebeca Grynspan as the early frontrunner, reflecting broad member-state support for the Costa Rican UNCTAD Secretary-General and former vice president amid the ongoing selection process for the successor to António Guterres. Rafael Grossi, the Argentine IAEA Director General nominated in late 2025, trails in both the poll and market pricing due to comparatively narrower backing within the Security Council despite his multilateral experience. Other nominees, including Macky Sall and Michelle Bachelet, register limited encouragement in the straw poll, consistent with weaker institutional endorsements and regional dynamics within the Latin American and Caribbean Group. The process, governed by General Assembly resolutions emphasizing transparency, continues with further informal consultations ahead of a formal Security Council recommendation and General Assembly vote expected later in 2026. Trader consensus on these probabilities tracks the relative momentum from the July poll and nomination patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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