Google's announcement at I/O 2026 on May 19 positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for general availability in June, after unveiling the model family alongside Gemini 3.5 Flash. As of June 14, the frontier model remains in limited preview and internal testing without broad release, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward late-month dates. Traders appear to factor in Google's typical cadence for major AI updates—often clustered near month-end to align with developer cycles or earnings—while discounting earlier June windows absent new confirmations. Key upcoming catalysts include any official rollout notices or API changelog entries that could shift implied probabilities if the timeline slips beyond June.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
June 30 57%
No release by June 30 15.4%
June 23 14%
June 18 4%
$124,408 Обс.
$124,408 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
June 14
1%
June 15
<1%
June 16
2%
June 17
1%
June 18
4%
June 19
1%
June 20
<1%
June 21
1%
June 22
1%
June 23
14%
June 24
<1%
June 25
<1%
June 26
3%
June 27
<1%
June 28
1%
June 29
<1%
June 30
57%
No release by June 30
15%
June 30 57%
No release by June 30 15.4%
June 23 14%
June 18 4%
$124,408 Обс.
$124,408 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
June 14
$2,635 Обс.
1%
June 15
$1,939 Обс.
<1%
June 16
$3,411 Обс.
2%
June 17
$3,532 Обс.
1%
June 18
$2,597 Обс.
4%
June 19
$2,548 Обс.
1%
June 20
$1,629 Обс.
<1%
June 21
$1,501 Обс.
1%
June 22
$5,778 Обс.
1%
June 23
$5,626 Обс.
14%
June 24
$4,326 Обс.
<1%
June 25
$2,418 Обс.
<1%
June 26
$4,609 Обс.
3%
June 27
$2,019 Обс.
<1%
June 28
$1,416 Обс.
1%
June 29
$1,805 Обс.
<1%
June 30
$6,702 Обс.
57%
No release by June 30
$20,326 Обс.
15%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's announcement at I/O 2026 on May 19 positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for general availability in June, after unveiling the model family alongside Gemini 3.5 Flash. As of June 14, the frontier model remains in limited preview and internal testing without broad release, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward late-month dates. Traders appear to factor in Google's typical cadence for major AI updates—often clustered near month-end to align with developer cycles or earnings—while discounting earlier June windows absent new confirmations. Key upcoming catalysts include any official rollout notices or API changelog entries that could shift implied probabilities if the timeline slips beyond June.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$124,408Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's announcement at I/O 2026 on May 19 positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for general availability in June, after unveiling the model family alongside Gemini 3.5 Flash. As of June 14, the frontier model remains in limited preview and internal testing without broad release, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward late-month dates. Traders appear to factor in Google's typical cadence for major AI updates—often clustered near month-end to align with developer cycles or earnings—while discounting earlier June windows absent new confirmations. Key upcoming catalysts include any official rollout notices or API changelog entries that could shift implied probabilities if the timeline slips beyond June.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$124,408Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's announcement at I/O 2026 on May 19 positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for general availability in June, after unveiling the model family alongside Gemini 3.5 Flash. As of June 14, the frontier model remains in limited preview and internal testing without broad release, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward late-month dates. Traders appear to factor in Google's typical cadence for major AI updates—often clustered near month-end to align with developer cycles or earnings—while discounting earlier June windows absent new confirmations. Key upcoming catalysts include any official rollout notices or API changelog entries that could shift implied probabilities if the timeline slips beyond June.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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