Early in the Apertura 2026, defensive parity across Liga MX contenders has kept the most clean sheets market tightly bunched, with implied probabilities clustered between 24% and 34%. Santos Laguna leads trader consensus despite a winless start and 1.71 goals conceded per game, reflecting expectations around squad depth, goalkeeper stability, and potential improvement from recent reinforcements like Facundo Cáseres. Atlante FC, newly returned to the top flight, sits close behind on the strength of its organized back line and historical defensive traits. Teams such as Monterrey, Toluca, Pachuca, and Guadalajara remain within a few points due to comparable recent shutout rates, similar schedules, and the inherent variability of clean sheets over a full campaign. No side has established clear separation yet, leaving room for form swings, injuries, or tactical adjustments to shift outcomes.