Iran's supreme leader succession process concluded in early March 2026 when the Assembly of Experts selected Mojtaba Khamenei to replace his father, Ali Khamenei, who was killed in late February during U.S.-Israeli strikes that also eliminated other senior figures. An interim leadership council of the president, judiciary chief, and a senior cleric managed affairs during the transition amid active conflict. As of August 2026, the new supreme leader has maintained a low public profile with occasional health speculation, while overseeing IRGC and military command appointments, national security council changes, and responses to U.S. sanctions enforcement targeting revenue networks. Economic strain, including rial depreciation and inflation, alongside internal security exercises, shapes ongoing institutional continuity and any potential future shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$24,057,007 Обс.
Jun 30, 2027
August 31
<1%
September 30
3%
October 31
7%
November 30
10%
31 грудня
16%
June 30, 2027
25%
$24,057,007 Обс.
August 31
$1,461,653 Обс.
<1%
September 30
$490,857 Обс.
3%
October 31
$26,233 Обс.
7%
November 30
$18,839 Обс.
10%
31 грудня
$4,120,003 Обс.
16%
June 30, 2027
$251,699 Обс.
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's supreme leader succession process concluded in early March 2026 when the Assembly of Experts selected Mojtaba Khamenei to replace his father, Ali Khamenei, who was killed in late February during U.S.-Israeli strikes that also eliminated other senior figures. An interim leadership council of the president, judiciary chief, and a senior cleric managed affairs during the transition amid active conflict. As of August 2026, the new supreme leader has maintained a low public profile with occasional health speculation, while overseeing IRGC and military command appointments, national security council changes, and responses to U.S. sanctions enforcement targeting revenue networks. Economic strain, including rial depreciation and inflation, alongside internal security exercises, shapes ongoing institutional continuity and any potential future shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Обсяг
$24,057,007Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's supreme leader succession process concluded in early March 2026 when the Assembly of Experts selected Mojtaba Khamenei to replace his father, Ali Khamenei, who was killed in late February during U.S.-Israeli strikes that also eliminated other senior figures. An interim leadership council of the president, judiciary chief, and a senior cleric managed affairs during the transition amid active conflict. As of August 2026, the new supreme leader has maintained a low public profile with occasional health speculation, while overseeing IRGC and military command appointments, national security council changes, and responses to U.S. sanctions enforcement targeting revenue networks. Economic strain, including rial depreciation and inflation, alongside internal security exercises, shapes ongoing institutional continuity and any potential future shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$24,057,007Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's supreme leader succession process concluded in early March 2026 when the Assembly of Experts selected Mojtaba Khamenei to replace his father, Ali Khamenei, who was killed in late February during U.S.-Israeli strikes that also eliminated other senior figures. An interim leadership council of the president, judiciary chief, and a senior cleric managed affairs during the transition amid active conflict. As of August 2026, the new supreme leader has maintained a low public profile with occasional health speculation, while overseeing IRGC and military command appointments, national security council changes, and responses to U.S. sanctions enforcement targeting revenue networks. Economic strain, including rial depreciation and inflation, alongside internal security exercises, shapes ongoing institutional continuity and any potential future shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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