Short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service point to a daily maximum of 25–26 °C in Istanbul on July 23, reflecting a modest dip from recent 29–31 °C readings. Typical July climatology features average highs of 29–31 °C under Mediterranean high pressure, yet current guidance highlights increased boundary-layer moisture, possible sea-breeze enhancement from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, and modest cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Ensemble spreads in global models remain narrow for this near-term horizon, supporting the tight market clustering around 25–26 °C while leaving room for revision if diurnal heating exceeds expectations or a subtle wind shift occurs. Updated runs and official nowcasts will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 23?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 23?
24°C 52%
25°C 34%
23°C 7.5%
26°C 7%
$47,307 Обс.
$47,307 Обс.
Jul 23, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
8%
24°C
52%
25°C
34%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 52%
25°C 34%
23°C 7.5%
26°C 7%
$47,307 Обс.
$47,307 Обс.
Jul 23, 2026
20°C or below
$244 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$722 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$13,833 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$2,312 Обс.
8%
24°C
$4,232 Обс.
52%
25°C
$2,454 Обс.
34%
26°C
$3,170 Обс.
7%
27°C
$4,041 Обс.
2%
28°C
$3,618 Обс.
1%
29°C
$5,952 Обс.
1%
30°C or higher
$6,729 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service point to a daily maximum of 25–26 °C in Istanbul on July 23, reflecting a modest dip from recent 29–31 °C readings. Typical July climatology features average highs of 29–31 °C under Mediterranean high pressure, yet current guidance highlights increased boundary-layer moisture, possible sea-breeze enhancement from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, and modest cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Ensemble spreads in global models remain narrow for this near-term horizon, supporting the tight market clustering around 25–26 °C while leaving room for revision if diurnal heating exceeds expectations or a subtle wind shift occurs. Updated runs and official nowcasts will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$47,307Дата завершення
Jul 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service point to a daily maximum of 25–26 °C in Istanbul on July 23, reflecting a modest dip from recent 29–31 °C readings. Typical July climatology features average highs of 29–31 °C under Mediterranean high pressure, yet current guidance highlights increased boundary-layer moisture, possible sea-breeze enhancement from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, and modest cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Ensemble spreads in global models remain narrow for this near-term horizon, supporting the tight market clustering around 25–26 °C while leaving room for revision if diurnal heating exceeds expectations or a subtle wind shift occurs. Updated runs and official nowcasts will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$47,307Дата завершення
Jul 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service point to a daily maximum of 25–26 °C in Istanbul on July 23, reflecting a modest dip from recent 29–31 °C readings. Typical July climatology features average highs of 29–31 °C under Mediterranean high pressure, yet current guidance highlights increased boundary-layer moisture, possible sea-breeze enhancement from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, and modest cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Ensemble spreads in global models remain narrow for this near-term horizon, supporting the tight market clustering around 25–26 °C while leaving room for revision if diurnal heating exceeds expectations or a subtle wind shift occurs. Updated runs and official nowcasts will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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