Recent three-day windows on X have settled in the 40-89 tweet range, establishing the 40-64 bracket as the leading outcome at nearly 50% implied probability. Musk’s posting cadence has remained steady amid routine engagement on Tesla Cybercab updates, SpaceX milestones, and platform commentary, without major political controversies, product launches, or cultural flashpoints to accelerate volume. Weekend timing for September 7-9 typically aligns with moderate activity levels around 15-25 posts daily, consistent with the past week’s resolved markets. Traders appear to discount the chance of a sudden spike unless breaking news intervenes, keeping higher brackets thinly priced.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено40-64 50%
65-89 28%
<40 14%
90-114 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
<40
14%
40-64
50%
65-89
28%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 28%
<40 14%
90-114 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
<40
$134 Обс.
14%
40-64
$123 Обс.
50%
65-89
$60 Обс.
28%
90-114
$1,034 Обс.
6%
115-139
$1,016 Обс.
1%
140-164
$442 Обс.
<1%
165-189
$443 Обс.
<1%
190-214
$8 Обс.
<1%
215-239
$8 Обс.
<1%
240+
$105 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent three-day windows on X have settled in the 40-89 tweet range, establishing the 40-64 bracket as the leading outcome at nearly 50% implied probability. Musk’s posting cadence has remained steady amid routine engagement on Tesla Cybercab updates, SpaceX milestones, and platform commentary, without major political controversies, product launches, or cultural flashpoints to accelerate volume. Weekend timing for September 7-9 typically aligns with moderate activity levels around 15-25 posts daily, consistent with the past week’s resolved markets. Traders appear to discount the chance of a sudden spike unless breaking news intervenes, keeping higher brackets thinly priced.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,373Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent three-day windows on X have settled in the 40-89 tweet range, establishing the 40-64 bracket as the leading outcome at nearly 50% implied probability. Musk’s posting cadence has remained steady amid routine engagement on Tesla Cybercab updates, SpaceX milestones, and platform commentary, without major political controversies, product launches, or cultural flashpoints to accelerate volume. Weekend timing for September 7-9 typically aligns with moderate activity levels around 15-25 posts daily, consistent with the past week’s resolved markets. Traders appear to discount the chance of a sudden spike unless breaking news intervenes, keeping higher brackets thinly priced.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$3,373Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent three-day windows on X have settled in the 40-89 tweet range, establishing the 40-64 bracket as the leading outcome at nearly 50% implied probability. Musk’s posting cadence has remained steady amid routine engagement on Tesla Cybercab updates, SpaceX milestones, and platform commentary, without major political controversies, product launches, or cultural flashpoints to accelerate volume. Weekend timing for September 7-9 typically aligns with moderate activity levels around 15-25 posts daily, consistent with the past week’s resolved markets. Traders appear to discount the chance of a sudden spike unless breaking news intervenes, keeping higher brackets thinly priced.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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