Recent trader consensus for Elon Musk’s September 7–9 tweet volume centers on the 40–64 bracket (49.5% implied probability) because his posting pace has settled into a moderate 25–35 posts per day following the end of his formal DOGE role. Recent three-day and weekly windows have resolved in the 40–64 and 160–179 ranges, respectively, reflecting fewer high-engagement political threads and a steadier focus on Tesla’s Cybercab rollout, Grok updates, and X platform metrics. Weekend timing and the absence of breaking news cycles further support the lower band, while 65–89 (28.5%) remains the main alternative if routine product or platform commentary accelerates. Any unexpected controversy or major announcement could quickly push totals higher, but current sentiment tracks the established baseline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено40-64 50%
65-89 29%
<40 13%
90-114 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
<40
13%
40-64
50%
65-89
29%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 29%
<40 13%
90-114 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
<40
$110 Обс.
13%
40-64
$109 Обс.
50%
65-89
$53 Обс.
29%
90-114
$1,034 Обс.
6%
115-139
$1,001 Обс.
1%
140-164
$442 Обс.
<1%
165-189
$443 Обс.
<1%
190-214
$8 Обс.
<1%
215-239
$8 Обс.
<1%
240+
$105 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent trader consensus for Elon Musk’s September 7–9 tweet volume centers on the 40–64 bracket (49.5% implied probability) because his posting pace has settled into a moderate 25–35 posts per day following the end of his formal DOGE role. Recent three-day and weekly windows have resolved in the 40–64 and 160–179 ranges, respectively, reflecting fewer high-engagement political threads and a steadier focus on Tesla’s Cybercab rollout, Grok updates, and X platform metrics. Weekend timing and the absence of breaking news cycles further support the lower band, while 65–89 (28.5%) remains the main alternative if routine product or platform commentary accelerates. Any unexpected controversy or major announcement could quickly push totals higher, but current sentiment tracks the established baseline.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,313Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent trader consensus for Elon Musk’s September 7–9 tweet volume centers on the 40–64 bracket (49.5% implied probability) because his posting pace has settled into a moderate 25–35 posts per day following the end of his formal DOGE role. Recent three-day and weekly windows have resolved in the 40–64 and 160–179 ranges, respectively, reflecting fewer high-engagement political threads and a steadier focus on Tesla’s Cybercab rollout, Grok updates, and X platform metrics. Weekend timing and the absence of breaking news cycles further support the lower band, while 65–89 (28.5%) remains the main alternative if routine product or platform commentary accelerates. Any unexpected controversy or major announcement could quickly push totals higher, but current sentiment tracks the established baseline.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$3,313Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent trader consensus for Elon Musk’s September 7–9 tweet volume centers on the 40–64 bracket (49.5% implied probability) because his posting pace has settled into a moderate 25–35 posts per day following the end of his formal DOGE role. Recent three-day and weekly windows have resolved in the 40–64 and 160–179 ranges, respectively, reflecting fewer high-engagement political threads and a steadier focus on Tesla’s Cybercab rollout, Grok updates, and X platform metrics. Weekend timing and the absence of breaking news cycles further support the lower band, while 65–89 (28.5%) remains the main alternative if routine product or platform commentary accelerates. Any unexpected controversy or major announcement could quickly push totals higher, but current sentiment tracks the established baseline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання