Traders assign a 96.2% implied probability against any US annexation of territory in 2026, reflecting the absence of active legislation, Senate-ratified treaties, or executive proposals advancing formal incorporation before year-end. Earlier 2026 discussions around potential acquisitions such as Greenland produced diplomatic friction and explicit US commitments against military or coercive measures, with priorities instead centered on alliances, trade, and existing territorial administration. No major disputes or bilateral negotiations have escalated toward statutory approval or constitutional thresholds in recent months. Remaining scenarios that could shift outcomes include an unforeseen agreement ratified in the final quarter, rapid resolution of a territorial claim, or unanticipated developments meeting congressional requirements by December 31.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update4% tsansa
$154,658 Vol.
$154,658 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
4% tsansa
$154,658 Vol.
$154,658 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 96.2% implied probability against any US annexation of territory in 2026, reflecting the absence of active legislation, Senate-ratified treaties, or executive proposals advancing formal incorporation before year-end. Earlier 2026 discussions around potential acquisitions such as Greenland produced diplomatic friction and explicit US commitments against military or coercive measures, with priorities instead centered on alliances, trade, and existing territorial administration. No major disputes or bilateral negotiations have escalated toward statutory approval or constitutional thresholds in recent months. Remaining scenarios that could shift outcomes include an unforeseen agreement ratified in the final quarter, rapid resolution of a territorial claim, or unanticipated developments meeting congressional requirements by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volume
$154,658Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 96.2% implied probability against any US annexation of territory in 2026, reflecting the absence of active legislation, Senate-ratified treaties, or executive proposals advancing formal incorporation before year-end. Earlier 2026 discussions around potential acquisitions such as Greenland produced diplomatic friction and explicit US commitments against military or coercive measures, with priorities instead centered on alliances, trade, and existing territorial administration. No major disputes or bilateral negotiations have escalated toward statutory approval or constitutional thresholds in recent months. Remaining scenarios that could shift outcomes include an unforeseen agreement ratified in the final quarter, rapid resolution of a territorial claim, or unanticipated developments meeting congressional requirements by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$154,658Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 96.2% implied probability against any US annexation of territory in 2026, reflecting the absence of active legislation, Senate-ratified treaties, or executive proposals advancing formal incorporation before year-end. Earlier 2026 discussions around potential acquisitions such as Greenland produced diplomatic friction and explicit US commitments against military or coercive measures, with priorities instead centered on alliances, trade, and existing territorial administration. No major disputes or bilateral negotiations have escalated toward statutory approval or constitutional thresholds in recent months. Remaining scenarios that could shift outcomes include an unforeseen agreement ratified in the final quarter, rapid resolution of a territorial claim, or unanticipated developments meeting congressional requirements by December 31.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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