The ICJ case brought by South Africa against Israel under the Genocide Convention remains in the written pleadings phase, with the court’s May 2026 order setting South Africa’s reply deadline for November 2027 and Israel’s rejoinder for May 2029. These extended procedural timelines, following Israel’s March 2026 counter-memorial, indicate that merits hearings and any potential final judgment lie well beyond the market’s December 31, 2027 resolution date. Parallel ICC proceedings focus on war-crimes allegations rather than a genocide finding, and no other international tribunal has scheduled a ruling on the question within the window. Trader consensus at 82 percent for “No” aligns with the absence of imminent adjudicative outcomes and the slow pace of interstate litigation at the ICJ.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$91,457 Vol.
$91,457 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
$91,457 Vol.
$91,457 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The ICJ case brought by South Africa against Israel under the Genocide Convention remains in the written pleadings phase, with the court’s May 2026 order setting South Africa’s reply deadline for November 2027 and Israel’s rejoinder for May 2029. These extended procedural timelines, following Israel’s March 2026 counter-memorial, indicate that merits hearings and any potential final judgment lie well beyond the market’s December 31, 2027 resolution date. Parallel ICC proceedings focus on war-crimes allegations rather than a genocide finding, and no other international tribunal has scheduled a ruling on the question within the window. Trader consensus at 82 percent for “No” aligns with the absence of imminent adjudicative outcomes and the slow pace of interstate litigation at the ICJ.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ET
Volume
$91,457Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The ICJ case brought by South Africa against Israel under the Genocide Convention remains in the written pleadings phase, with the court’s May 2026 order setting South Africa’s reply deadline for November 2027 and Israel’s rejoinder for May 2029. These extended procedural timelines, following Israel’s March 2026 counter-memorial, indicate that merits hearings and any potential final judgment lie well beyond the market’s December 31, 2027 resolution date. Parallel ICC proceedings focus on war-crimes allegations rather than a genocide finding, and no other international tribunal has scheduled a ruling on the question within the window. Trader consensus at 82 percent for “No” aligns with the absence of imminent adjudicative outcomes and the slow pace of interstate litigation at the ICJ.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$91,457Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ICJ case brought by South Africa against Israel under the Genocide Convention remains in the written pleadings phase, with the court’s May 2026 order setting South Africa’s reply deadline for November 2027 and Israel’s rejoinder for May 2029. These extended procedural timelines, following Israel’s March 2026 counter-memorial, indicate that merits hearings and any potential final judgment lie well beyond the market’s December 31, 2027 resolution date. Parallel ICC proceedings focus on war-crimes allegations rather than a genocide finding, and no other international tribunal has scheduled a ruling on the question within the window. Trader consensus at 82 percent for “No” aligns with the absence of imminent adjudicative outcomes and the slow pace of interstate litigation at the ICJ.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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