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Palakasan·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
Palakasan·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

Justin Gaethje 85.8%

Arman Tsarukyan 12.8%

Mauricio Ruffy 6.3%

Ilia Topuria 3.3%

Polymarket

$672,742 Vol.

Justin Gaethje 85.8%

Arman Tsarukyan 12.8%

Mauricio Ruffy 6.3%

Ilia Topuria 3.3%

Polymarket

$672,742 Vol.

Ilia Topuria

$19,163 Vol.

3%

Arman Tsarukyan

$9,491 Vol.

8%

Charles Oliveira

$8,924 Vol.

1%

Max Holloway

$16,601 Vol.

<1%

Justin Gaethje

$25,927 Vol.

77%

Paddy Pimblett

$526,487 Vol.

2%

Dan Hooker

$2,174 Vol.

<1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$1,993 Vol.

<1%

Benoît Saint Denis

$53,852 Vol.

<1%

Rafael Fiziev

$2,086 Vol.

<1%

Renato Moicano

$2,429 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Ruffy

$3,615 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Justin Gaethje holds the UFC lightweight title after his fourth-round TKO victory over Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250 in June 2026, marking his first reign as undisputed champion with zero defenses to date. Trader consensus heavily favors him at 84% through year-end because he has no title bout scheduled for the remainder of 2026, positioning him to retain the belt absent any intervening events. Topuria’s recent loss and subsequent orbital injury explain his reduced 3.3% implied probability, while Arman Tsarukyan and Mauricio Ruffy sit at 8.8% and 5.6% respectively on the strength of recent wins and divisional rankings. Limited activity from other contenders, including Charles Oliveira and Paddy Pimblett, further reinforces the current market distribution based on confirmed roster status and fight scheduling.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$672,742
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Justin Gaethje holds the UFC lightweight title after his fourth-round TKO victory over Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250 in June 2026, marking his first reign as undisputed champion with zero defenses to date. Trader consensus heavily favors him at 84% through year-end because he has no title bout scheduled for the remainder of 2026, positioning him to retain the belt absent any intervening events. Topuria’s recent loss and subsequent orbital injury explain his reduced 3.3% implied probability, while Arman Tsarukyan and Mauricio Ruffy sit at 8.8% and 5.6% respectively on the strength of recent wins and divisional rankings. Limited activity from other contenders, including Charles Oliveira and Paddy Pimblett, further reinforces the current market distribution based on confirmed roster status and fight scheduling.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$672,742
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Justin Gaethje" sa 77%, sinusundan ng "Arman Tsarukyan" sa 8%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 77¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 77% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay naka-generate ng $672.7K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 4, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay "Justin Gaethje" sa 77%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 77% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Arman Tsarukyan" sa 8%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.