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Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

icon for Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%

Rafael Grossi 30%

Achim Steiner 29.5%

Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

Polymarket

$80,086 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%

Rafael Grossi 30%

Achim Steiner 29.5%

Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

Polymarket

$80,086 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan

$4,573 Vol.

45%

Rafael Grossi

$22,300 Vol.

30%

Achim Steiner

$2,551 Vol.

30%

Jacinda Ardern

$1,875 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bachelet

$26,540 Vol.

3%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

$3,039 Vol.

2%

Kristalina Georgieva

$1,912 Vol.

1%

Bruno Donat

$2,417 Vol.

1%

Amina Mohammed

$3,899 Vol.

1%

Mia Mottley

$2,035 Vol.

<1%

Alicia Bárcena

$2,096 Vol.

<1%

Colombe Cahen-Salvador

$2,679 Vol.

22%

David Choquehuanca

$2,099 Vol.

<1%

Vuk Jeremić

$2,071 Vol.

<1%

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan holds the lead in trader consensus for the next UN Secretary-General as the first-round Security Council straw poll results in late July 2026 showed her securing the most encourage votes among nominees. Her position as UNCTAD head, Costa Rican nomination, and profile as a potential first female leader with administrative experience align with regional rotation norms and calls for greater gender balance. Achim Steiner and Rafael Grossi follow closely, drawing support from their UNDP and IAEA roles plus established UN networks, though neither matched her initial backing. With no candidate exceeding 50% implied probability, the race remains fluid ahead of additional straw polls, interactive dialogues, and a final Security Council recommendation expected later in 2026. Recent endorsements and the transparent selection process have reinforced Grynspan's edge while underscoring the influence of permanent members' preferences.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$80,086
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan holds the lead in trader consensus for the next UN Secretary-General as the first-round Security Council straw poll results in late July 2026 showed her securing the most encourage votes among nominees. Her position as UNCTAD head, Costa Rican nomination, and profile as a potential first female leader with administrative experience align with regional rotation norms and calls for greater gender balance. Achim Steiner and Rafael Grossi follow closely, drawing support from their UNDP and IAEA roles plus established UN networks, though neither matched her initial backing. With no candidate exceeding 50% implied probability, the race remains fluid ahead of additional straw polls, interactive dialogues, and a final Security Council recommendation expected later in 2026. Recent endorsements and the transparent selection process have reinforced Grynspan's edge while underscoring the influence of permanent members' preferences.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$80,086
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Feb 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 14 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Rebeca Grynspan" sa 45%, sinusundan ng "Rafael Grossi" sa 30%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 45¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 45% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" ay naka-generate ng $80.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 11, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?," i-browse ang 14 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" ay "Rebeca Grynspan" sa 45%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 45% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Rafael Grossi" sa 30%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.