Skip to main content
icon for Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
Teknolohiya·Negosyo

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?

icon for Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
Teknolohiya·Negosyo

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$13,122 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$13,122 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for ICE

ICE

$670 Vol.

18%

icon for CBOE

CBOE

$3,181 Vol.

10%

icon for ForecastEx

ForecastEx

$825 Vol.

10%

icon for Small Exchange

Small Exchange

$3,521 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent CFTC advisories, including the July 2026 guidance on event contract series, have tightened self-certification standards under Regulation 40.2 by discouraging broad template filings and requiring detailed Core Principle 3 manipulation analyses, settlement methodologies, and often pre-filing league engagement. This has elevated compliance costs and stay risks for smaller or newer DCMs while favoring established players like CME Group, which has already completed thousands of unopposed sports-related certifications since early 2025. Platforms tied to sportsbooks, such as Railbird (DraftKings), continue filing targeted football contracts ahead of the 2026 season, sustaining momentum amid competitive pressure to capture prediction market volume before stricter proposed rulemaking takes effect. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with frontrunners benefiting from precedent and others facing uncertainty around year-end deadlines.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$13,122
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 7:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent CFTC advisories, including the July 2026 guidance on event contract series, have tightened self-certification standards under Regulation 40.2 by discouraging broad template filings and requiring detailed Core Principle 3 manipulation analyses, settlement methodologies, and often pre-filing league engagement. This has elevated compliance costs and stay risks for smaller or newer DCMs while favoring established players like CME Group, which has already completed thousands of unopposed sports-related certifications since early 2025. Platforms tied to sportsbooks, such as Railbird (DraftKings), continue filing targeted football contracts ahead of the 2026 season, sustaining momentum amid competitive pressure to capture prediction market volume before stricter proposed rulemaking takes effect. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with frontrunners benefiting from precedent and others facing uncertainty around year-end deadlines.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$13,122
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 7:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Kaugnay

icon for Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

13%
icon for SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?

31%
icon for Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?

Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?

10%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Aristotle" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "ICE" sa 18%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?" ay naka-generate ng $13.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 1, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?" ay "Aristotle" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "ICE" sa 18%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.