The strong Democratic lean of Texas’s 30th congressional district, centered in Dallas and surrounding areas with a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25, underpins the 95% market consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett’s decision to run for Senate created an open seat, yet Rev. Frederick Haynes III’s decisive primary victory and deep local roots have preserved the party’s structural advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Everett Jackson, who prevailed in the May runoff, faces the same steep headwinds that produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in prior cycles. The market reflects trader assessments of these baseline electoral fundamentals rather than short-term events. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment remain the primary pathways that could narrow the gap.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateTX-30 House Election Winner
TX-30 House Election Winner
$19,170 Vol.
$19,170 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$19,170 Vol.
$19,170 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,578 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$13,592 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Texas’s 30th congressional district, centered in Dallas and surrounding areas with a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25, underpins the 95% market consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett’s decision to run for Senate created an open seat, yet Rev. Frederick Haynes III’s decisive primary victory and deep local roots have preserved the party’s structural advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Everett Jackson, who prevailed in the May runoff, faces the same steep headwinds that produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in prior cycles. The market reflects trader assessments of these baseline electoral fundamentals rather than short-term events. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment remain the primary pathways that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$19,170Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Texas’s 30th congressional district, centered in Dallas and surrounding areas with a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25, underpins the 95% market consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett’s decision to run for Senate created an open seat, yet Rev. Frederick Haynes III’s decisive primary victory and deep local roots have preserved the party’s structural advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Everett Jackson, who prevailed in the May runoff, faces the same steep headwinds that produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in prior cycles. The market reflects trader assessments of these baseline electoral fundamentals rather than short-term events. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment remain the primary pathways that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,170Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Texas’s 30th congressional district, centered in Dallas and surrounding areas with a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25, underpins the 95% market consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett’s decision to run for Senate created an open seat, yet Rev. Frederick Haynes III’s decisive primary victory and deep local roots have preserved the party’s structural advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Everett Jackson, who prevailed in the May runoff, faces the same steep headwinds that produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in prior cycles. The market reflects trader assessments of these baseline electoral fundamentals rather than short-term events. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political realignment remain the primary pathways that could narrow the gap.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong