Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura share the highest implied probabilities at 11.5% each for the August 4 Titled Tuesday winner, driven by their elite blitz ratings, proven consistency in weekly Chess.com online events, and strong recent form against elite fields. A broad group trails at 5.5% or lower, reflecting the tournament's wide-open structure with dozens of titled players competing in rapid time controls. Key differentiators include superior head-to-head records in similar formats, higher average scores in prior Titled Tuesdays, and greater familiarity with online platforms compared to over-the-board specialists like Gukesh Dommaraju or Ding Liren. Lower probabilities for the rest of the field stem from variability in recent results, fewer top finishes in high-volume blitz fields, and the inherent unpredictability of single-day Swiss-system events where upsets remain common.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMagnus Carlsen 20%
Hikaru Nakamura 11%
Javokhir Sindarov 10%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 10%
Magnus Carlsen
11%
Hikaru Nakamura
11%
Javokhir Sindarov
10%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
10%
Awonder Liang
10%
Ding Liren
6%
Wei Yi
6%
Aravindh Chithambaram
6%
Alexander Grischuk
6%
Benjamin Bok
6%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
6%
Andrey Esipenko
6%
Le Tuan Minh
6%
Nikolas Theodorou
6%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
6%
Parham Maghsoodloo
6%
Vladislav Artemiev
6%
Gukesh Dommaraju
6%
Vladimir Fedoseev
6%
Christopher Yoo
6%
Andrew Tang
6%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Sam Sevian
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Vincent Keymer
4%
Arjun Erigaisi
4%
Sina Movahed
4%
Aleksandar Indjic
4%
Bardiya Daneshvar
4%
David Anton
4%
Dau Khuong Duy
4%
Dincer Tasdogen
4%
Haik Martirosyan
4%
Hans Niemann
4%
Haowen Xue
4%
Jules Moussard
4%
Pranesh Munirethinam
4%
Renato Terry Lujan
4%
Rudik Makarian
4%
Sergey Sklokin
4%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
4%
Volen Dyulgerov
4%
Brandon Jacobson
4%
Tuomas Turunen
4%
Aleksandr Shimanov
4%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
4%
Pranav Venkatesh
4%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
4%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
4%
Wesley So
4%
Aleksei Sarana
4%
Fabiano Caruana
4%
Levon Aronian
4%
Magnus Carlsen 20%
Hikaru Nakamura 11%
Javokhir Sindarov 10%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 10%
Magnus Carlsen
11%
Hikaru Nakamura
11%
Javokhir Sindarov
10%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
10%
Awonder Liang
10%
Ding Liren
6%
Wei Yi
6%
Aravindh Chithambaram
6%
Alexander Grischuk
6%
Benjamin Bok
6%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
6%
Andrey Esipenko
6%
Le Tuan Minh
6%
Nikolas Theodorou
6%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
6%
Parham Maghsoodloo
6%
Vladislav Artemiev
6%
Gukesh Dommaraju
6%
Vladimir Fedoseev
6%
Christopher Yoo
6%
Andrew Tang
6%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Sam Sevian
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Vincent Keymer
4%
Arjun Erigaisi
4%
Sina Movahed
4%
Aleksandar Indjic
4%
Bardiya Daneshvar
4%
David Anton
4%
Dau Khuong Duy
4%
Dincer Tasdogen
4%
Haik Martirosyan
4%
Hans Niemann
4%
Haowen Xue
4%
Jules Moussard
4%
Pranesh Munirethinam
4%
Renato Terry Lujan
4%
Rudik Makarian
4%
Sergey Sklokin
4%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
4%
Volen Dyulgerov
4%
Brandon Jacobson
4%
Tuomas Turunen
4%
Aleksandr Shimanov
4%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
4%
Pranav Venkatesh
4%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
4%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
4%
Wesley So
4%
Aleksei Sarana
4%
Fabiano Caruana
4%
Levon Aronian
4%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 30, 2026, 11:13 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura share the highest implied probabilities at 11.5% each for the August 4 Titled Tuesday winner, driven by their elite blitz ratings, proven consistency in weekly Chess.com online events, and strong recent form against elite fields. A broad group trails at 5.5% or lower, reflecting the tournament's wide-open structure with dozens of titled players competing in rapid time controls. Key differentiators include superior head-to-head records in similar formats, higher average scores in prior Titled Tuesdays, and greater familiarity with online platforms compared to over-the-board specialists like Gukesh Dommaraju or Ding Liren. Lower probabilities for the rest of the field stem from variability in recent results, fewer top finishes in high-volume blitz fields, and the inherent unpredictability of single-day Swiss-system events where upsets remain common.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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