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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

RI-02 Republican Primary Winner

icon for RI-02 Republican Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

RI-02 Republican Primary Winner

Polymarket

$12,656 Vol.

Polymarket

$12,656 Vol.

Stephen Skoly

$8,290 Vol.

74%

Victor Mellor

$4,367 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stephen Skoly holds a clear edge in the Rhode Island 2nd District Republican primary, scheduled for September 9, 2026, reflecting trader consensus around his state party endorsement secured in June and stronger local organizational support. As an East Greenwich oral surgeon known for opposing COVID-19 mandates, Skoly benefits from established Rhode Island ties and backing from figures including state legislators and law enforcement groups. Victor Mellor, a self-funded businessman and Marine veteran who recently returned to the state, trails despite heavy personal investment exceeding $3 million and endorsements such as from Michael Flynn, with recent campaign activity including a September 4 debate and release of military records. The race remains a two-candidate contest focused on conservative positioning, border security, and health policy, with the short timeline limiting opportunities for shifts ahead of voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,656
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 9, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Stephen Skoly holds a clear edge in the Rhode Island 2nd District Republican primary, scheduled for September 9, 2026, reflecting trader consensus around his state party endorsement secured in June and stronger local organizational support. As an East Greenwich oral surgeon known for opposing COVID-19 mandates, Skoly benefits from established Rhode Island ties and backing from figures including state legislators and law enforcement groups. Victor Mellor, a self-funded businessman and Marine veteran who recently returned to the state, trails despite heavy personal investment exceeding $3 million and endorsements such as from Michael Flynn, with recent campaign activity including a September 4 debate and release of military records. The race remains a two-candidate contest focused on conservative positioning, border security, and health policy, with the short timeline limiting opportunities for shifts ahead of voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,656
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 9, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "RI-02 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Stephen Skoly" sa 74%, sinusundan ng "Victor Mellor" sa 27%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 74¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 74% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "RI-02 Republican Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $12.7K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 21, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "RI-02 Republican Primary Winner," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "RI-02 Republican Primary Winner" ay "Stephen Skoly" sa 74%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 74% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Victor Mellor" sa 27%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "RI-02 Republican Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.